The Yankees are -300 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n
Marlins vs Yankees Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n
Marlins \/ Yankees TV Channel: MATV | YES<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins (+240) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-300) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.<\/p>\n
This season, the Marlins are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-1 ATS.<\/p>\n
Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n
Marlins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-1, 18.02 ERA<\/p>\n
Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n
Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n
SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMarlins+2.5 -140O 8 -105+240Yankees -2.5 +118U 8 -115-300<\/p>\n
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 70.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Marlins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n
Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 games (+10.60 Units \/ 133% ROI)<\/p>\n
Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/p>\n
Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units \/ 59% ROI)<\/p>\n
Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+9.00 Units \/ 300% ROI)<\/p>\n
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+13.05 Units \/ 130% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n
Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+8.40 Units \/ 140% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n
Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 75 away games (+15.65 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 away games (+12.79 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 away games (+8.50 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n
Yankees Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+21.25 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n
The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+12.12 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n
The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+9.65 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 2-6 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units \/ -43.82% ROI).<\/p>\n
5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units \/ 12.35% ROI<\/p>\n
5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units \/ 20.23% ROI<\/p>\n
3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units \/ -29.05% ROI<\/p>\n
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-1 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units \/ 104.38% ROI).<\/p>\n
7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units \/ 53.7% ROI<\/p>\n
3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units \/ -16.28% ROI<\/p>\n
4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units \/ 5.56% ROI<\/p>\n
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees<\/p>\n
The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n
The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n
The Marlins are just 21-76 (.216) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.<\/p>\n
The Marlins are just 140-157 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2024 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.<\/p>\n
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n
The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n
The Yankees were 56-37 (.602) after a win in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.<\/p>\n
The Yankees are 97-29 (.770) when they\u2019ve scored in the first inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.<\/p>\n
The Yankees are 170-11 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.<\/p>\n
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
The Marlins are batting .292 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA\u2019s against RHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins hitters are slugging .357 with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Marlins are batting .304 on breaking pitches this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees hitters had an OPS of .794 (3,255 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Marlins pitchers this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 4.97 (702.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Yankees have allowed 1.88 runs per game (15\/8) this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Yankees pitchers this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 1.77 (71.1 IP) this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n
Bet now on Marlins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n
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