{"id":664744,"date":"2026-04-05T14:55:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:55:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664744\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:55:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:55:14","slug":"reds-vs-rangers-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/664744\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs Rangers Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Reds are +105 favorites vs the Rangers<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Rangers Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Reds \/ Rangers TV Channel: RDTV | RASN<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on April 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35 pm in Arlington, TX.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Reds are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 4-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 1-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-0, 3.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineReds-1.5   +165O 7.5   +100+105Rangers +1.5   -220U 7.5   -120-125<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.50 Units \/ 193% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Will Benson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.40 Units \/ 138% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.10 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.90 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+14.70 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+12.40 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.70 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+9.80 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+8.85 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units \/ 12.83% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units \/ 35.33% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units \/ -16% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units \/ 7.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units \/ -1.87% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units \/ -4.79% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units \/ 19.55% ROI<\/p>\n<p>2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units \/ -26.59% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers<\/p>\n<p>The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 11-123 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 8-127 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were just 7-45 (.135) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are batting just .177 with runners on base this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .748 (60 PA\u2019s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers batted just .225 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters slugged just .363 at home in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (1,672 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .228 against Reds pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.8 MPH (3,917 batted balls)  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters  this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Reds are +105 favorites vs the Rangers Reds vs Rangers Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Reds&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664745,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2393],"tags":[5,4,149,1567,69,3240],"class_list":{"0":"post-664744","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-texas-rangers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rangers","11":"tag-texas","12":"tag-texas-rangers","13":"tag-texasrangers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=664744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/664744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=664744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=664744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=664744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}