{"id":666464,"date":"2026-04-06T14:27:35","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:27:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/666464\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T14:27:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:27:35","slug":"brewers-vs-red-sox-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/666464\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Brewers \/ Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRTV<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Brewers are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 3.60 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 0-1, 9.65 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5   +150O 8   -110-115Red Sox +1.5   -185U 8   -110-105<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units \/ 144% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units \/ 77% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.40 Units \/ 92% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Roman Anthony has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.35 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 125 games (+25.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 162 games (+19.75 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 162 games (+18.70 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 93 of their last 162 games (+18.54 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+17.10 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.45 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games at home (+13.55 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+10.70 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 7-2 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units \/ 74% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units \/ 33.98% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units \/ 27.55% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units \/ -37% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units \/ -52.28% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units \/ -60.91% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units \/ 6.67% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units \/ -15.92% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 45-36 (.556) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .457.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 60-36 (.625) after a win in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .517.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers have scored 37 runs with two outs this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,349 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are batting .266 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45%  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are batting .267 against LHP this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA\u2019s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31%  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24%  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .086 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 against Red Sox pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox Brewers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 8&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":666465,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2401],"tags":[5,136,843,59,4280,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-666464","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-brewers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-brewers","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-milwaukeebrewers","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116358233658291926","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=666464"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666464\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/666465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=666464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=666464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=666464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}