{"id":666472,"date":"2026-04-06T14:32:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/666472\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T14:32:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T14:32:16","slug":"phillies-vs-giants-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/666472\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies vs Giants Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Giants<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs Giants Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Phillies \/ Giants TV Channel: NSBA | NSP+<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Francisco, CA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Phillies are 5-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 2-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-0, 1.69 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Giants starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-1, 1.69 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePhillies-1.5   +150O 8   -115-115Giants +1.5   -185U 8   -105-105<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday\u2018s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Phillies vs Giants and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units \/ 84% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 59 away games (+20.55 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 away games (+14.70 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 away games (+13.30 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 148 games (+10.15 Units \/ 4% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.10 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.45 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units \/ -54.95% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units \/ -7.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units \/ 15.84% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units \/ -24.74% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Giants are 2-7 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units \/ -58.68% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units \/ -40.93% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units \/ 6.25% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units \/ -12.04% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 42-24 (.636) after a loss in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies were 96-66 (.593)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are 21-138 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies are batting just .152 against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies hitters slugged .469 at home in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>42% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters are slugging just .253 against RHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Phillies pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers  since the 2023 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers  since the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants allowed 1.02 runs per game (165\/161) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Phillies vs Giants and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Giants Phillies vs Giants Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs Phillies&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":666473,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2397],"tags":[5,4,144,25,4216,40],"class_list":{"0":"post-666472","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-philadelphia-phillies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-philadelphia","11":"tag-philadelphia-phillies","12":"tag-philadelphiaphillies","13":"tag-phillies"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116358253849520598","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666472","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=666472"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666472\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/666473"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=666472"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=666472"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=666472"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}