{"id":668530,"date":"2026-04-07T14:49:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:49:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/668530\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T14:49:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:49:14","slug":"cardinals-vs-nationals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/668530\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals \/ Nationals TV Channel: CATV | NATV<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Cardinals are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 6-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-0, 1.64 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-0, 3.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineCardinals-1.5   +155O 7.5   -110-110Nationals +1.5   -190U 7.5   -110-110<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Cardinals vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Liberatore has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.25 Units \/ 64% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Liberatore has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.95 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Liberatore has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units \/ 83% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Liberatore has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 4 games (+4.15 Units \/ 73% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pedro Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units \/ 80% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Joey Wiemer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.10 Units \/ 168% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Curtis Mead has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.60 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.20 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.00 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.70 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+9.25 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 away games (+6.65 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+1.30 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 67 away games (+0.85 Units \/ 1% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games at home (+13.72 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games at home (+13.30 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units \/ -6.34% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units \/ 22.65% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units \/ -4.1% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units \/ -5.47% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-4 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units \/ 8.96% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units \/ -7.22% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units \/ 49.49% ROI<\/p>\n<p>2-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units \/ -57.5% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 131-8 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 28-18 (.609) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals were just 31-49 (.383) at home in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401)  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 32-52 (.376) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 11-45 (.193) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters are slugging just .482 with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .937 (1,244 PA\u2019s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have scored 34 runs with two outs this season \u2014 3rd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against RHP this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters are slugging .458  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters are slugging .467 against RHP this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Cardinals pitchers  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20%  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14%  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 9.25 (36.0 IP) at home this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals allowed 1.85 runs per game (299\/162) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have allowed 9.25 runs per game (37\/4) at home this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Cardinals vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Nationals Cardinals vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Cardinals&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":661282,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2398],"tags":[5,4,415,414,71,4222],"class_list":{"0":"post-668530","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-nationals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-nationals","11":"tag-washington","12":"tag-washington-nationals","13":"tag-washingtonnationals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116363982677051707","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668530\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/661282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}