{"id":668535,"date":"2026-04-07T14:52:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:52:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/668535\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T14:52:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T14:52:31","slug":"reds-vs-marlins-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/668535\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs Marlins Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Marlins are -135 favorites vs the Reds<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Reds \/ Marlins TV Channel: RDTV | MATV<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-135) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Reds are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-1, 3.09 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineReds+1.5   -210O 7   +100+110Marlins -1.5   +170U 7   -120-135<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday\u2018s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Abbott has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.20 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Abbott has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.40 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units \/ 91% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+3.85 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Abbott has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.05 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sandy Alcantara has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.35 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sandy Alcantara has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.65 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 141 games (+30.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.10 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.90 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+23.85 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.20 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+15.10 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+10.90 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.70 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Reds are 7-3 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units \/ 18.35% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units \/ 42.78% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units \/ -24.62% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units \/ 16.42% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-7 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units \/ -26.77% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units \/ 29.66% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units \/ 28.21% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units \/ -36.82% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 5-62 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 8-52 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are 7-3 (.700)  this season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 15-70 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .957.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are batting just .137 with two outs this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have an OPS of .835 (208 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters struck out in just 20% of their PA\u2019s against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers  since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (727.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents are hitting just .193 against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Marlins are -135 favorites vs the Reds Reds vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7 Runs Reds&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":654514,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-668535","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-marlins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-marlins","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-marlins","12":"tag-miamimarlins","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116363994656502983","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668535","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=668535"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/668535\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/654514"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=668535"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=668535"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=668535"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}