The Pirates are -160 favorites vs the Padres<\/p>\n
Padres vs Pirates Over \/ Under today: 6.5 Runs<\/p>\n
Padres \/ Pirates TV Channel: PDTV | SNPT<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.<\/p>\n
This season, the Padres are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 6-4 ATS.<\/p>\n
Padres vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n
Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 1-1, 6.76 ERA<\/p>\n
Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 1-1, 9.54 ERA<\/p>\n
Padres vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n
SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePadres+1.5 -185O 6.5 -115+135Pirates -1.5 +150U 6.5 -105-160<\/p>\n
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday\u2018s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Padres vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Nick Pivetta has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.35 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/p>\n
Nick Pivetta has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n
Nick Pivetta has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.05 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n
Nick Pivetta has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+4.90 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n
Nick Pivetta has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+4.60 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Paul Skenes has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n
Paul Skenes has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n
Paul Skenes has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+3.40 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n
Paul Skenes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n
Padres Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.75 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 80 away games (+13.25 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.00 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n
The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n
Pirates Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games at home (+14.29 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+13.10 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 5-4 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units \/ -12.18% ROI).<\/p>\n
5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units \/ -9.41% ROI<\/p>\n
3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units \/ -24.87% ROI<\/p>\n
6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units \/ 17.09% ROI<\/p>\n
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 6-4 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units \/ 18.62% ROI).<\/p>\n
6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units \/ 36.18% ROI<\/p>\n
5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units \/ 6.7% ROI<\/p>\n
5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units \/ -16.34% ROI<\/p>\n
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates<\/p>\n
The Padres were 25-6 (.806) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.<\/p>\n
The Padres are 68-6 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .877.<\/p>\n
The Padres are 26-18 (.591) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Pirates (12th in runs allowed).<\/p>\n
The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Padres<\/p>\n
The Pirates were just 13-24 (.351) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Padres (28th in runs scored).<\/p>\n
The Pirates are just 15-26 (.366) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Padres (27th in runs scored).<\/p>\n
The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n
The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have a groundball batting average of just .133 this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates hitters are slugging just .341 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates hitters are slugging just .159 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168\/162) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since the 2023 season (11,978 balls in play) \u2014 best in MLB<\/p>\n
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Pirates pitchers have walked 21% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% in late innings this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Pirates pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n
Bet now on Padres vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n
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