{"id":670382,"date":"2026-04-08T14:25:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T14:25:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/670382\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T14:25:14","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T14:25:14","slug":"reds-vs-marlins-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/670382\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs Marlins Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Reds<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Reds \/ Marlins TV Channel: RDTV | MATV<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on April 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Reds are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-8 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 0-0, 5.01 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Eury Perez 0-1, 5.73 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Spread<\/p>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<p>Money<\/p>\n<p>Reds<\/p>\n<p>Marlins<\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/event\/19242456\" class=\"eventlink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" aria-label=\"Go to Events Page\" target=\"_blank\"><\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.50 Units \/ 288% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+9.10 Units \/ 130% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units \/ 99% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+27.00 Units \/ 675% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units \/ 73% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Eury Perez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.75 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.65 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.75 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.10 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.35 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.10 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units \/ 5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-3 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units \/ 26.1% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units \/ 55.95% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units \/ -21.43% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units \/ 11.79% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-8 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units \/ -39.08% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units \/ 7.23% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units \/ 21.85% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units \/ -31.71% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are 6-1 (.857) after a win this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .507.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are 8-3 (.727)  this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds were just 7-50 (.123) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 11-71 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 12-171 (.066) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are just 73-97 (.429) at home since the 2024 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are batting just .124 with two outs this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Reds are batting just .168 with runners on base this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are batting .247 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 47% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters are slugging just .289 on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have an OPS of .618 (213 PA\u2019s) with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Reds Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers  since the 2024 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have had third base stolen on them 4 times  this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.04 (727.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Reds vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Reds Reds vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Reds&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":670383,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-670382","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-marlins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-marlins","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-marlins","12":"tag-miamimarlins","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116369550565161184","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/670382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=670382"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/670382\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/670383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=670382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=670382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=670382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}