{"id":670650,"date":"2026-04-08T17:38:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T17:38:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/670650\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T17:38:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T17:38:33","slug":"can-phillies-win-a-series-in-san-fran-for-first-time-since-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/670650\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Phillies Win a Series in San Fran for First Time Since … 2013?"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n Phillies
\n <\/a><\/p>\n


\n \"Chris
\n <\/a><\/p>\n

\"Bryce<\/p>\n

Apr 5, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) in the fourth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images<\/p>\n

Can the Phillies somehow win a series in San Francisco?<\/p>\n

The way things have been going \u2014 historically and this week \u2014 that\u2019s very much TBD.<\/p>\n

Today, they\u2019ll turn to Aaron Nola (1-0, 3.18). He\u2019ll face righty Tyler Mahle (0-2, 7.00). The pitching matchup sounds favorable, but so did the first two games of this series. The bullpen bailed out Andrew Painter on Monday, and it\u2019s easier to just pretend Cristopher Sanchez\u2019s start Tuesday never happened.<\/p>\n

Onward. Today the Phillies will try to win a series at San Francisco for the first time since 2013. First pitch is set for 3:45 pm, ET, at Oracle Park.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll preview what matters most and recommend the best bets.<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Giants Odds<\/p>\n

Aaron Nola vs Giants<\/p>\n

GSW-LIPERAWHIPOpp AVGOpp OPSKBBHRHER93-345.07.001.71.328.889451756035<\/p>\n

Tyler Mahle vs Phillies<\/p>\n

GPGSW-LIPERAWHIPOpp AVGOpp OPSKBBHRHER331-113.03.461.08.250.7391213135<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Giants Predictions & Best Bets<\/p>\n

The Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (-114 at DraftKings<\/a>)<\/p>\n

If you enjoy watching offensive baseball, you might want to look away. We are confidently taking the Under here because \u2026 well, have you watched these offenses lately?<\/p>\n

Scoring 6 runs Tuesday was a Giants outlier. At home this season, the Giants are mustering 2.56 runs per game while hitting an abysmal 0.11 home runs per contest. They are drawing walks in a meager 6.40% of their plate appearances, meaning they aren\u2019t even accidentally getting on base. Nola and a Phillies pitching staff that boasts a 10.36 K\/9 rate are going to carve through this lineup. (Yes, we thought the same thing yesterday, too.)<\/p>\n

On the flip side, the Phillies aren\u2019t exactly setting the world on fire during their road trips, either. They\u2019ve scored 9 runs in their past 4 games \u2014 including a shutout loss last night. Overall, they\u2019re averaging a modest 3.80 runs per game away from Citizens Bank Park. Even if Giants starter Tyler Mahle and a pitching staff sporting a collective 4.37 ERA give up a few runs to the top of the order, the Giants simply don\u2019t have the firepower to participate in pushing this total over the edge.<\/p>\n

Unless the seagulls at Oracle Park start knocking baseballs into McCovey Cove themselves, do not expect a shootout today. Take the Under and enjoy a brisk, offensively challenged afternoon.<\/p>\n

Phillies Player Prop Pick<\/p>\n

Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+122 at DraftKings<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Mahle obviously is off to a slow start this season, currently sporting a 7.00 ERA and a 1.778 WHIP. He\u2019s generously allowing opponents to bat .351 against him. On the flip side, Harper enters this contest slugging .429 with five extra-base hits in the young season. When a dynamic power hitter gets to face a pitcher who is handing out opposite-field singles and gappers like free Wawa coffee, you don\u2019t overthink it. Expect the slugger to do significant damage and easily clear his total bases mark before the stadium lights even need to turn on.<\/p>\n

Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105 DraftKings<\/a>)<\/p>\n

If Harper is going to cause havoc, somebody has to keep the line moving. Enter Trea Turner. Given Mahle\u2019s well-documented struggles and propensity for allowing hard contact (13 hits allowed per 9 innings), Turner\u2019s elite bat-to-ball skills make him a nightmare matchup. At plus money, backing Turner to rack up bases against a pitcher who is consistently serving up meatballs is a value play you can\u2019t pass up.<\/p>\n

Phillies at Giants House of Horrors<\/p>\n

The Phillies\u2019 most recent series win at San Francisco came in 2013, though they split a 4-game series in 2017.<\/p>\n

SeasonDateResultPHISF2013May 6W622013May 7W622013May 8L342014Aug 15W532014Aug 16L562014Aug 17L252015Jul 10L2152015Jul 11L582015Jul 12L242016Jun 24L452016Jun 25W322016Jun 26L782017Aug 17L452017Aug 18L2102017Aug 19W1292017Aug 20W522018Jun 1L042018Jun 2L022018Jun 3L162019Aug 8L052019Aug 9W962019Aug 10L132021Jun 18L352021Jun 19W1362021Jun 20L2112022Sep 2L1132022Sep 3L452022Sep 4L352023May 15L362023May 16L342023May 17L472024May 27L482024May 28L012024May 29W612025Jul 7L132025Jul 8L342025Jul 9W1302026April 6W 642026April 7L002026April 8??????<\/p>\n

\"Chris<\/p>\n

Chris Wright is a 30-time APSE award-winning MLB, NBA and college editor with previous stints at the Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer. He vacationed at the Vet, believes Chase Utley is a HOFer and moved to Clearwater to watch the Phillies year-round. His magazine portfolio includes working as a writer and editor at Baseball America.
\n
\nHe has decades of experience leading award-winning coverage of the NBA, Major League Baseball, College Baseball, College Basketball, College Football, and the ATP and WTA tennis tours. He has contributed to highly successful NFL coverage as well.
\n
\nOver the course of his career, Chris’ team of writers has covered 4 men’s Final Fours, 2 Super Bowls, 1 MLB World Series, dozens of professional tennis tournaments and NCAA championships in football and baseball.
\n
\nChris joined Saturday Down South in 2015 and quickly was promoted to Executive Editor, where he successfully helped build the staff and directed college football, college basketball and college baseball coverage for 10 years.
\n
\nUnder Chris’ leadership and mentoring, Saturday Down South grew into the largest SEC-only website in America.
\n
\nIn 2025, Chris took on a new challenge as the Evergreen Editor at SportRadar, primarily building and maintaining pages for Saturday Down South. In addition to overseeing that project, Chris also uses AI tools to cover MLB, the NBA, college sports, tennis and the NFL for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.<\/p>\n

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