Keagan Smith gives you a preview, prediction and pick for today\u2019s game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets on Wednesday\u2019s MLB slate.<\/p>\n
We\u2019re officially entering the third week of the MLB season, meaning we\u2019re beginning to see statistical blips turn into trends as the sport\u2019s pecking order comes into full focus. The New York Mets (7-4) took the opening game of this series to make it four straight wins, while the Arizona Diamondbacks (5-6) are seeking to capture some positive momentum on this northeast road trip. Game two of the series between the two begins at 4:10 p.m. ET this afternoon.<\/p>\n
Here\u2019s a betting prediction and pick for today\u2019s Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup courtesy of MLB odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks vs. Mets prediction, preview<\/p>\n
Arizona Diamondbacks<\/p>\n
Game one of this series ended in a 4-3 extra-innings loss for the D-Backs despite having a slight nine-to-eight advantage in the hit column. They\u2019re scoring just 3.45 runs per game at the moment and their results at the plate aren\u2019t great with a .632 OPS via a .213\/.274\/.357 slash line. Their .144 ISO comes in at eighth but they\u2019ve hit only eight home runs to this point. Is there some bad luck involved with the third-lowest BABIP at .252? Possibly, but a poor walk rate of 7.3% gives the Snakes the 24th-ranked BB\/K ratio at only 0.35. Arizona\u2019s pitching staff holds a 4.35 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP, but it should be noted that its LOB% of 64.4% is second worst in the Majors. A 17.9% K% is also third lowest of any team. <\/p>\n
New York Mets<\/p>\n
The Mets are first in the NL East\u2019s early going and are still undefeated since Juan Soto went down with a calf injury, taking four straight games. Now, the superstar lands on IL, but it seems the team may be okay for the moment even without him after scoring a combined 28 runs over these four games (the first of which he saw just one AB in). New York averages 4.82 runs per game and has the 10th-best OPS at .711 via a .249\/.330\/.380 slash line. The group still hit slashed .297\/.339\/.387 across three games in which Soto hasn\u2019t appeared in with a .726 OPS, too. A .131 ISO is uninspiring and partially attributed to the departure of Pete Alonso over the offseason, as are the Mets\u2019 nine homers, which are on the lower end. Pitching has been a massive strength with a 2.54 ERA (third best) and 1.16 WHIP (seventh best), also bringing a 15.3% K-BB% (10th best).<\/p>\n
Tonight\u2019s starting pitchers<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks trot out Ryne Nelson, the RHP who\u2019s seen a rough first two starts of 2026 but was quite good in 2025. He\u2019s gone just 4.2 innings in each of his two outings with four and two earned runs allowed in those, and his four homers given up are second most in the NL. However, he\u2019s only given up five total hits over those 9.1 IP with a 1.18 WHIP. Last year, he also finished the season with a 3.39 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s LHP David Peterson for the Mets this afternoon after a difficult first couple of games this season. He\u2019s thrown 9.2 total innings with just five earned runs and four walks allowed, striking out eight hitters. However, he\u2019s given up 15 hits, ninth most in the NL. He brings a 4.66 ERA and 1.97 WHIP into this game as a result. In 2025, he finished with a 4.22 ERA\/1.37 WHIP split.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks vs. Mets pick, best bet<\/p>\n
DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Mets as -141 ML favorites. The Diamondbacks are behind at +117 odds to win outright. The run total sits at 7.5 combined runs between these sides.<\/p>\n