{"id":671351,"date":"2026-04-09T03:09:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T03:09:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/671351\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T03:09:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T03:09:16","slug":"brewers-vs-red-sox-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/671351\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Brewers \/ Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRTV<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on April 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Brewers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 2-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 0-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 1-0, 4.36 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday\u2018s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units \/ 95% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luis Rengifo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 away games (+8.00 Units \/ 160% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.85 Units \/ 112% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+7.60 Units \/ 152% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.45 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.10 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.05 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.60 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.95 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games at home (+0.55 Units \/ 1% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-2 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units \/ 76.38% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units \/ 28.85% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units \/ 21.67% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units \/ -31.15% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 2-9 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units \/ -61.94% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units \/ -50.17% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units \/ 4.6% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units \/ -13.88% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 21-2 (.913) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 24-2 (.923) when they\u2019ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 3-8 (.273)  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers have scored 39 runs with two outs this season \u2014 tied for most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have chased just 20% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters chased just 19% pitches when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox batted .182 with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA\u2019s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29%  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have 23 three-pitch strikeouts this season \u2014 tied for 2nd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (1448.1 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Brewers Brewers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 7.5&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":663296,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2401],"tags":[5,136,843,59,4280,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-671351","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-brewers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-brewers","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-milwaukeebrewers","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116372554643888646","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671351","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671351"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671351\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/663296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671351"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671351"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671351"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}