{"id":672507,"date":"2026-04-10T14:15:58","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T14:15:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/672507\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T14:15:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T14:15:58","slug":"nationals-vs-brewers-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/672507\/","title":{"rendered":"Nationals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Brewers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>Nationals vs Brewers Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Nationals \/ Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | NATV<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Nationals are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-3 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-1, 8.01 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-0, 0.97 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineNationals+1.5   -135O 8   -110+165Brewers -1.5   +110U 8   -110-200<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday\u2018s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Nationals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+26.30 Units \/ 376% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+13.70 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+15.00 Units \/ 214% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.95 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+9.60 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.90 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.75 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.05 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+10.40 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units \/ 2.01% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units \/ -14.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units \/ 44.06% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units \/ -52.99% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-3 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units \/ 53.95% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units \/ 20.92% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units \/ 10.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units \/ -20.83% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 11-46 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 69-104 (.397)  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401)  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) at home this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .553.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 97-65 (.599)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are batting .304 against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have scored 37 runs with two outs this season \u2014 3rd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters have an OPS of .860 (154 PA\u2019s) against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers have scored 39 runs with two outs this season \u2014 2nd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers won 56% of their road games in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .486  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50\/6) at home this season \u2014 tied for highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (1531.2 IP)  since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have walked 12% of batters  this season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Nationals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Brewers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals Nationals vs Brewers Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs Nationals&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":652507,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2401],"tags":[5,136,843,59,4280,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-672507","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-brewers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-brewers","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-milwaukeebrewers","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116380838058397618","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=672507"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672507\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/652507"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=672507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=672507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=672507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}