{"id":672522,"date":"2026-04-10T14:42:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T14:42:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/672522\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T14:42:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T14:42:31","slug":"astros-vs-mariners-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/672522\/","title":{"rendered":"Astros vs Mariners Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Astros<\/p>\n<p>Astros vs Mariners Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Astros \/ Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | SCHN | KING<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros (+118) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Astros are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 4-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Astros vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Astros starting pitcher: Tatsuya Imai 1-0, 4.50 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 1-1, 0.73 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineAstros+1.5   -190O 7.5   -110+118Mariners -1.5   +155U 7.5   -110-145<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday\u2018s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Astros vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+18.95 Units \/ 211% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.05 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+13.50 Units \/ 338% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.85 Units \/ 84% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Astros Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+5.90 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+1.40 Units \/ 5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Mariners Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+7.55 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.70 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.65 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-7 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units \/ 4.96% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units \/ -22.71% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units \/ 30.82% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units \/ -40.71% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-9 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units \/ -36.96% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units \/ -46.41% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units \/ -26.57% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units \/ 17.48% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners<\/p>\n<p>The Astros were 41-8 (.837) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .699.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are just 2-126 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners are just 4-9 (.308)  this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners are just 10-27 (.270) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Astros (second in runs scored).<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners are just 4-8 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners were 70-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>Astros Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are batting .396 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters have an OBP of .525 (61 PA\u2019s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters are slugging .750 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters have an OPS of .900 (140 PA\u2019s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners are batting just .177 against LHP this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners are batting just .158 on the road this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners hitters are slugging just .224 against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Astros have allowed 4.15 runs per game (54\/13) in the first 5 innings this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros pitchers have an ERA of 7.92 (50.0 IP) on the road this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 14 double plays in 60 opportunities (23%)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (3,017 PA\u2019s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Astros vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Astros Astros vs Mariners Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Astros&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":672523,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2392],"tags":[5,620,4,619,65,3235],"class_list":{"0":"post-672522","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-seattle-mariners","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mariners","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-seattle","12":"tag-seattle-mariners","13":"tag-seattlemariners"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116380941851596065","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=672522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/672522\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/672523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=672522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=672522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=672522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}