{"id":673296,"date":"2026-04-11T13:34:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:34:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673296\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T13:34:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:34:07","slug":"twins-vs-blue-jays-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673296\/","title":{"rendered":"Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays<\/p>\n<p>Twins vs Blue Jays Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Twins \/ Blue Jays TV Channel: TWTV | RSN<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07 pm in Toronto, ON.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Twins are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 4-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Twins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 1-1, 4.50 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-1, 4.91 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineTwins-1.5   +165O 8   -110-105Blue Jays +1.5   -200U 8   -110-115<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Twins vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units \/ 175% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+6.90 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>George Springer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>George Springer has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units \/ 79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Twins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.15 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.00 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.55 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.00 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+3.95 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units \/ 0% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units \/ 9.25% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units \/ -11.33% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units \/ 2.61% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-9 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units \/ -39.53% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units \/ -27.45% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units \/ -11.66% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units \/ 2.08% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins are just 24-32 (.429) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (26th runs allowed).<\/p>\n<p>The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 75-5 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .796.<\/p>\n<p>Twins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Twins are batting just .090 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 39% in righty-righty matchups this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays batted .185 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 11% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s  since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Twins pitchers  over the past seven days (7 games) \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Twins pitchers  this month (10 games) \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% versus the bottom of the order this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29%  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Twins vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Twins are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays Twins vs Blue Jays Over \/ Under today: 8&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673297,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2378],"tags":[5,377,2554,4,282,70,2553],"class_list":{"0":"post-673296","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-toronto-blue-jays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-blue-jays","10":"tag-bluejays","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-toronto","13":"tag-toronto-blue-jays","14":"tag-torontobluejays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116386336886158886","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673296","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673296"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673296\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673297"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}