{"id":673298,"date":"2026-04-11T13:36:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:36:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673298\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T13:36:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:36:21","slug":"yankees-vs-rays-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673298\/","title":{"rendered":"Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Rays<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs Rays Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Yankees \/ Rays TV Channel: RATV | YES<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees (-200) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+165) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Yankees are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 1.35 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 2.19 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineYankees-1.5   -105O 7.5   -110-200Rays +1.5   -115U 7.5   -110+165<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+15.35 Units \/ 102% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Aaron Judge has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.60 Units \/ 102% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units \/ 98% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+13.05 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+8.85 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.10 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.55 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.70 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-5 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units \/ 35.4% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units \/ -5.39% ROI<\/p>\n<p>4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units \/ -26.24% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units \/ 16.55% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rays are 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units \/ -13.43% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units \/ -10.54% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units \/ 33.1% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units \/ -41.32% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees were 94-68 (.580)  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 49-39 (.557) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .456.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 39-22 (.639) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (27th runs allowed).<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 102-73 (.583)  since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 67-11 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 61-14 (.813) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 81-84 (.491) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are batting just .119 against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees hitters are slugging just .208 against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees hitters have an OPS of just .280 (68 PA\u2019s) against LHP this month (6 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have put 45% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have a swing rate of 50% against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .280  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees have allowed 2.62 runs per game (34\/13)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Rays pitchers  over the past seven days (6 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Rays pitchers  this month (8 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Rays Yankees vs Rays Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Yankees&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673299,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2377],"tags":[5,4,297,2550,68,2551,2549],"class_list":{"0":"post-673298","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-rays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rays","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-rays","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabayrays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116386345142698902","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673298\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}