{"id":673302,"date":"2026-04-11T13:42:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:42:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673302\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T13:42:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:42:25","slug":"red-sox-vs-cardinals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673302\/","title":{"rendered":"Red Sox vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox \/ Cardinals TV Channel: FOX<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Red Sox are 4-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-5 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 0-1, 9.40 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 1-1, 5.40 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineRed Sox-1.5   +120O 8   -115-145Cardinals +1.5   -145U 8   -105+120<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.35 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wilyer Abreu has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+8.90 Units \/ 148% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+8.05 Units \/ 201% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+24.10 Units \/ 241% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Over in his last 9 games (+13.85 Units \/ 154% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.80 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.25 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.40 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+0.70 Units \/ 1% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.50 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.50 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.95 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.05 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 3-10 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units \/ -49.13% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units \/ -44.44% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units \/ -11.97% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units \/ 2.41% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-5 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units \/ 2.79% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units \/ 30.48% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units \/ -3.57% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units \/ -6.12% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 4-8 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 4-9 (.308)  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 8-5 (.615)  this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 28-18 (.609) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are batting .258 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting just .121 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters slugged just .380 against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .692 (4,388 PA\u2019s) against RHP in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .945 (1,270 PA\u2019s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15%  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Cardinals pitchers  this month (8 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers put 41% of their swings in play  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals Red Sox vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673303,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2375],"tags":[5,141,48,2542,4,89,2543],"class_list":{"0":"post-673302","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-boston-red-sox","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-boston","10":"tag-boston-red-sox","11":"tag-bostonredsox","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-red-sox","14":"tag-redsox"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116386368278052219","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673302","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673302\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}