{"id":673304,"date":"2026-04-11T13:45:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673304\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T13:45:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T13:45:21","slug":"giants-vs-orioles-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673304\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants vs Orioles Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Orioles<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Giants \/ Orioles TV Channel: FOX<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Giants are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 4-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 1-1, 5.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 0-2, 13.51 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineGiants-1.5   +145O 7.5   -120-120Orioles +1.5   -175U 7.5   +100+100<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Giants vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.10 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units \/ 175% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+18.20 Units \/ 182% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.60 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.40 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.75 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.75 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 50 games (+5.10 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.45 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+2.70 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+0.40 Units \/ 1% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Giants are 5-8 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units \/ -34.21% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units \/ -12.88% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units \/ 3.88% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units \/ -10.1% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 4-9 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units \/ -39.07% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units \/ -14.84% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units \/ 1.75% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units \/ -13.24% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were 11-65 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are 11-72 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Giants<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles are just 11-72 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>39% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters have an OPS of just .389 (122 PA\u2019s) against right-handed relievers this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles batted just .156 with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .671 (3,064 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Orioles are batting just .155 with two-strikes since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers  in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers  since the 2023 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants allowed 1.02 runs per game (165\/161) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Orioles pitchers had 255 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Giants vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Orioles Giants vs Orioles Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Giants&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673305,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2374],"tags":[143,47,2538,5,4,125],"class_list":{"0":"post-673304","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-baltimore-orioles","8":"tag-baltimore","9":"tag-baltimore-orioles","10":"tag-baltimoreorioles","11":"tag-baseball","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-orioles"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116386380057502997","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673304"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673304\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673305"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}