{"id":673387,"date":"2026-04-11T16:16:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T16:16:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673387\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T16:16:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T16:16:02","slug":"giants-vs-orioles-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673387\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants vs Orioles Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds for Today&#8217;s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                           <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775924148_460_72ae2a39-3da5-4528-baa6-04162f827fe2.jpg\" alt=\"Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"covers-mini-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/img.covers.com\/covers\/icons\/global-icons\/covers-c-new.svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/writers\/jason-ence\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jason Ence<\/a><br \/>\n                             \u2022 Betting Analyst<\/p>\n<p>                    13+ years betting experience<\/p>\n<p>\n            Updated:<br \/>\nApr 11, 2026 , 10:16 AM ET<\/p>\n<p>                \u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n<p class=\"covers-Articlemodern-cutLine\">Ence&#8217;s Prediction: Logan Webb and the Giants beat the Orioles. <\/p>\n<p>                <img src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/544a609a-c4d9-434b-9acf-c6026a54c263.png\" width=\"64\" height=\"64\" alt=\"Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants MLB\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Photo By &#8211; Reuters Connect. Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants MLB<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants seek their fourth win in a row on Saturday night when they take on the Baltimore Orioles.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been a nightmare start to the season for Baltimore starter Chris Bassitt, which is why our MLB odds have the Giants favored to claim the victory and clinch the series.<\/p>\n<p>My Giants vs. Orioles predictions have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/picks\/mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">MLB picks<\/a> for the side and total as I explain why Bassitt\u2019s struggles are likely to continue.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Who will win Giants vs Orioles today: Giants (-113)<\/p>\n<p>Getting ground-ball outs becomes important when playing in Oriole Park. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/baseball\/mlb\/players\/27841\/logan-webb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Logan Webb<\/a> does that well, ranking in the 91st percentile a season ago and the 86th percentile in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/baseball\/mlb\/teams\/main\/baltimore-orioles\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Baltimore Orioles<\/a> starter <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/baseball\/mlb\/players\/14487\/chris-bassitt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Chris Bassitt<\/a> is struggling to get outs. 54% of his pitches to RHH this season have been fastballs, which is more of a local than an express.<\/p>\n<p>Command is also Bassit&#8217;s issue, posting a 15% BB walk rate vs. a 7.5% K rate.<\/p>\n<p>Bassitt is getting destroyed by lefty bats, who are splitting .500\/.583\/.813 this season. With the short porch in RF, this sets up extremely well for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/baseball\/mlb\/teams\/main\/san-francisco-giants\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">San Francisco Giants<\/a> to win.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775924161_114_logo.png\" alt=\"Covers\" width=\"25\" height=\"25\" style=\"font-weight: bold;\"\/> COVERS INTEL: Rafael Devers has a career .500\/1.100\/1.600 split vs. Chris Bassitt, with three 2B and three HR in 20 plate appearances.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=covers.com\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"googleLink border-0 bg-lighter rounded-2 py-2 px-3 d-flex gap-2 justify-content-between align-items-center mb-5\" data-linkcont=\"Article-Google-Preferences-Click\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775924162_249_google-preferred-source-badge.png\" width=\"102\" height=\"36\" alt=\"Add as a preferred source on Google\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/a>Giants vs Orioles Over\/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+103)<\/p>\n<p>I love the Over in this matchup. Webb is the better pitcher, but he\u2019s not been great. He\u2019s been a tad unlucky, given his 5.00 ERA exceeds his 3.50 xFIP, but he\u2019s also rocking a .281 xBA.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants rank near the bottom of the league in wOBAcon and hard-hit rate, and are dead last in barrel rate. The matchup with Bassitt raises their scoring floor.<\/p>\n<p>Despite just 18 runs in the last six games, the Orioles rank fourth in BABIP and eighth in wRC+.<\/p>\n<p>This matchup of two sub-par starters will lead to a third straight Over for the Orioles.<\/p>\n<p>Jason Ence&#8217;s 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n<p>ML\/RL bets: 0-2, -2.22 units<br \/>\nOver\/Under bets: 2-0, +2.0 units<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles odds<\/p>\n<p>Moneyline: Giants -113 | Orioles +108<br \/>\nRun line: Giants -1.5 (+156) | Orioles +1.5 (-163)<br \/>\nOver\/Under: Over 7.5 (+108) | Under 7.5 (-113)<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles trend<\/p>\n<p>[Stat]. Find more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/baseball\/mlb\/matchup\/368162\/picks#trends\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MLB betting trends<\/a> for Giants vs. Orioles.<\/p>\n<p>How to watch Giants vs Orioles and game info<\/p>\n<p>Location<br \/>\nOriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD<\/p>\n<p>Date<br \/>\nSaturday, April 11, 2026<\/p>\n<p>First pitch<br \/>\n7:15 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>TV<br \/>\nFOX<\/p>\n<p>Giants starting pitcher<br \/>\nLogan Webb<br \/>(1-1, 5.00 ERA)<\/p>\n<p>Orioles starting pitcher<br \/>\nChris Bassitt<br \/>(0-2, 14.21 ERA)<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles latest injuries<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Orioles weather<\/p>\n<p>Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.<br \/>Not intended for use in MA.<br \/>Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n<p>        Pages related to this topic<\/p>\n<p>                        <img decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" alt=\"Jason Ence - Covers\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775924162_914_72ae2a39-3da5-4528-baa6-04162f827fe2.jpg\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.<\/p>\n<p>Read More<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jason Ence \u2022 Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience Updated: Apr 11, 2026 , 10:16 AM ET \u2022&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673388,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2408],"tags":[5,162,4,378,66,4343,4340,4344,4341,4342],"class_list":{"0":"post-673387","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-san-francisco-giants","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-giants","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-san-francisco","12":"tag-san-francisco-giants","13":"tag-sanfrancisco","14":"tag-sanfranciscogiants","15":"tag-sf","16":"tag-sf-giants","17":"tag-sfgiants"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116386976695127419","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673387\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}