The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks \/ Phillies TV Channel: FS1 | DBTV | NSPA<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.<\/p>\n
This season, the Diamondbacks are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 3-10 ATS.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 0-0, 6.76 ERA<\/p>\n
Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 0-2, 8.72 ERA<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under & Moneyline <\/p>\n
SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineDiamondbacks+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+115Phillies -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-135<\/p>\n
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 7 games (+10.00 Units \/ 143% ROI)<\/p>\n
Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.85 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/p>\n
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n
Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n
Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n
Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n
Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.50 Units \/ 142% ROI)<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 away games (+12.20 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+10.10 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n
Phillies Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.50 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.40 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.35 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-3 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units \/ 34.94% ROI).<\/p>\n
8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units \/ 22.64% ROI<\/p>\n
9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units \/ 29.68% ROI<\/p>\n
4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units \/ -37.91% ROI<\/p>\n
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 3-10 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units \/ -50.35% ROI).<\/p>\n
6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units \/ -21.33% ROI<\/p>\n
7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units \/ 10.38% ROI<\/p>\n
5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units \/ -18.02% ROI<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks are just 74-15 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks are just 67-19 (.779) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.<\/p>\n
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n
The Phillies are 17-52 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n
The Phillies are 44-28 (.611) after a loss since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.<\/p>\n
The Phillies are 29-99 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .133.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Diamondbacks are batting .268 against LHP since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .502 (144 PA\u2019s) against LHP this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
The Phillies are batting just .159 against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA\u2019s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends<\/p>\n
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies pitchers have walked 6% of batters this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n
Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n
More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n
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