{"id":673897,"date":"2026-04-12T07:12:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T07:12:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673897\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T07:12:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T07:12:19","slug":"marlins-vs-tigers-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/673897\/","title":{"rendered":"Marlins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Tigers Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Marlins \/ Tigers TV Channel: DSN | MATV<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Marlins are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-1, 3.18 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-1, 5.23 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5   -190O 7.5   -115+120Tigers -1.5   +155U 7.5   -105-145<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.00 Units \/ 244% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units \/ 69% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Agustin Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.05 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.50 Units \/ 362% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.50 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games at home (+9.25 Units \/ 154% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+17.30 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 away games (+15.80 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+4.30 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+13.90 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.85 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units \/ 74% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.60 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-9 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units \/ -19.49% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units \/ 11.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units \/ 22.88% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units \/ -32.26% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-9 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units \/ -25% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units \/ -34.76% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units \/ -11.36% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units \/ 2.27% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .027.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 11-72 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 6-80 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are just 5-9 (.357)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers were 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are just 5-9 (.357) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 47% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are batting .218 with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are batting .264 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have 27 three-pitch strikeouts this season \u2014 3rd most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.24 (466.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Marlins Marlins vs Tigers Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Marlins&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":673898,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-673897","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-marlins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-marlins","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-marlins","12":"tag-miamimarlins","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116390497102081804","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=673897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/673897\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/673898"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=673897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=673897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=673897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}