{"id":674125,"date":"2026-04-12T13:45:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T13:45:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674125\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T13:45:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T13:45:17","slug":"marlins-vs-tigers-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674125\/","title":{"rendered":"Marlins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Tigers Over \/ Under today: 6.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Marlins \/ Tigers TV Channel: DSN | MATV<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins (+170) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-210) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Detroit, MI.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Marlins are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-0, 0.75 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 1-2, 2.55 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5   -150O 6.5   -120+170Tigers -1.5   +125U 6.5   +100-210<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.05 Units \/ 70% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sandy Alcantara has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Dillon Dingler has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+10.65 Units \/ 152% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units \/ 117% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+14.80 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.80 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.75 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+12.90 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.85 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.40 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.60 Units \/ 88% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.60 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-10 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units \/ -28% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units \/ 5.62% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units \/ 21.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units \/ -30.12% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 6-9 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units \/ -14.37% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units \/ -27.43% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units \/ -10.61% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units \/ 2.12% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 6-81 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .042.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 11-73 (.131) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are just 6-9 (.400)  this season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 46% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 1-6 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .026.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are batting .210 with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play  this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are batting .264 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters are slugging just .275 against LHP this season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents are hitting just .200 against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.03 (44.1 IP) at home this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers  this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Marlins Marlins vs Tigers Over \/ Under today: 6.5 Runs Marlins&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":674126,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2386],"tags":[5,147,53,2583,4,594],"class_list":{"0":"post-674125","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-detroit-tigers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-detroit","10":"tag-detroit-tigers","11":"tag-detroittigers","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-tigers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116392042367252039","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=674125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/674126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=674125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=674125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=674125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}