{"id":674132,"date":"2026-04-12T14:00:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-12T14:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674132\/"},"modified":"2026-04-12T14:00:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-12T14:00:20","slug":"yankees-vs-rays-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674132\/","title":{"rendered":"Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Rays<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs Rays Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Yankees \/ Rays TV Channel: RATV | YES | ESUN<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees (-150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+125) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Yankees are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 7-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 2-0, 1.62 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-0, 1.80 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineYankees-1.5   +118O 7.5   -105-150Rays +1.5   -145U 7.5   -115+125<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cam Schlittler has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units \/ 79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cam Schlittler has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units \/ 83% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+10.70 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+10.65 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.30 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.30 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.75 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.85 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.55 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.70 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-6 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units \/ 25.34% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units \/ -12.36% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units \/ -17.7% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units \/ 8.68% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rays are 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units \/ -7.26% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units \/ -0.32% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units \/ 37.13% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units \/ -45.31% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 39-23 (.629) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Rays (28th runs allowed).<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 99-71 (.582) on the road since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .467.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are 102-74 (.580)  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees were 94-68 (.580)  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 6-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .709.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 4-2 (.667) after a win this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are batting just .113 against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees are batting just .049 against LHP this month (7 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees hitters are slugging just .198 against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .207 (121 PA\u2019s) against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have put 44% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .305 with runners on base since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 5th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Yankees pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .282  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Rays pitchers  over the past seven days (6 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Rays pitchers  this month (9 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Rays Yankees vs Rays Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Yankees&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":674133,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2376],"tags":[5,4,1690,62,2548,2547,142],"class_list":{"0":"post-674132","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-yankees","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-new-york","11":"tag-new-york-yankees","12":"tag-newyork","13":"tag-newyorkyankees","14":"tag-yankees"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116392101389909103","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=674132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674132\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/674133"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=674132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=674132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=674132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}