{"id":674468,"date":"2026-04-13T03:03:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T03:03:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674468\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T03:03:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T03:03:24","slug":"the-diamondbacks-strong-start-analyzed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674468\/","title":{"rendered":"The Diamondbacks\u2019 strong start analyzed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since last we spoke, the Diamondbacks have been one of the hottest teams in baseball. What\u2019s going right for them?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wesley: Eduardo Rodriguez, Zac Gallen, Jonathan Lo\u00e1isiga, Corbin Carroll, Ildemaro Vargas, Jose Fernandez, and the unfortunately now injured Lawlar and Moreno have all been key drivers of this early success, in my opinion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Makakilo: Two observations:<\/p>\n<p>From 5 to 11 April, the Diamondbacks scored 5.2 runs per game, which is more than a full run higher than their average from last season. From 5 to 11 April, the Diamondbacks relievers had 9 shutdowns. Since the start of this season, they had 22 shutdowns, which was tied with the Pirates for the second most in the Majors. <\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Spencer: They\u2019ve been playing good ball against teams scuffling to start. In the best case scenario, this means we will hold tie breakers if necessary late in the season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">James: The pitching has been digging deep to find a bit of quality and the defense has been bailing out some mistake pitches, especially for Sewald. The team has also looked like one that is never convinced they are out of a game, even down four, so they keep pushing.<\/p>\n<p>One thing that isn\u2019t is Ketel Marte and Geraldo Perdomo. What do they need to change to get the bats woken up?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wesley: Ketel homered in Saturday\u2019s loss, so hopefully that means he\u2019ll start heating up. As I commented recently, the league is clearly taking Perdomo a little more seriously now that he\u2019s established himself as a much more credible offensive threat. Now Gerry needs to adjust to the league. Simple as that. <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/us3pCHd8PLs?t=160&amp;si=68X4UHcLrIa-CPy4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RIBBIT<\/a>. (Side Note: the linked song could easily be reworked to be about Gerry, or used a walk up song)<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Makakilo:  Perdomo. This season his 98.6% zone contact percentage is a career high, while his 7.9% whiffs is near a career low. Let\u2019s look at two strengths from last season: \u201cPerdomo\u2019s batting strengths include squared-up per swing and launch angle sweet spot percentage.\u201d \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.azsnakepit.com\/arizona-diamondbacks-analysis\/90005\/will-perdomo-regress-or-continue-his-breakout\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Makakilo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>His squared-up percentage improved from 32.3% to 38.4%.His launch angle sweet spot percentage fell from 36.2% to 27.9%. <\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Geraldo Perdomo is doing nearly everything excellently. Perhaps if he could improve his launch angle sweet spot percentage, that would allow him to sustain his breakout from last season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Spencer: I think the cold is affecting Marte. And Perdomo is playing to his floor which is unfortunate but not entirely surprising. I trust he pushes through it and finds the sweet middle ground.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">James: Marte is pressing too hard now. He got off to a slow start, quite possibly due to the colder weather. But once those struggles started to carry on, he started pressing much harder. When batting righty now, he\u2019s taking Paul Bunyan swings at any fastball near the zone. He needs to simplify things and take what they are giving him, even if it is just slapping the ball into open space. Once he starts getting some results, the rest will follow.<br \/>Perdomo just needs to not let these struggles get to him. He is still working the counts admirably. That\u2019s his game. He isn\u2019t always going to get the walk or the mistake pitch, especially now that the opposition is keying in on him. But he needs to stay within himself and to continue playing his game while at the plate. The league has adapted. It is time for him to adapt in response, but to not abandon what has gotten him where he is.<\/p>\n<p>The bullpen has actually been decent. Is this sustainable, or is it a bubble waiting to pop?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wesley: Yes, it is sustainable, but also yes, it\u2019s a bubble waiting to pop. The only reason why I think it might be sustainable is some of those veteran relievers signed to minor league contracts over the winter, are actually showing some promising results initially in Reno.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Makakilo: Two reasons to think it is sustainable:<\/p>\n<p>After 15 games, the relievers\u2019 innings per game and ERA were about the same as last season (3.47 vs 3.45 Innings per game, and 4.85 vs 4.82 ERA).The anticipated return of pitchers (both starters and relievers) from the injured list.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Spencer: Both. Could go either way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">James: The level of results is indeed sustainable. But the performance levels of some of the pitchers, especially Sewald, is likely a bubble waiting to burst. Sewald is getting saves. But he is giving up entirely too much hard contact. Right now, balls bouncing off the top of the wall or finding themselves screaming into a glove that was barely moved are allowing Sewald \u201csuccess\u201d. As the weather heats up, those balls are going to leave the yard or make it through the infield. The pitching in general needs to start doing better at limiting hard contact. Continuing to allow exit velocities over 100 mph is not a recipe for extended success.<\/p>\n<p>Jo Adell put on a masterclass in home run robbery. In your opinion was it the greatest defensive game ever?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wesley: I don\u2019t think there is a definitive answer to that question other than \u201cMaybe?\u201d and there\u2019s a few problems with that question. The first problem here is that the data just isn\u2019t there for us to actually compare performances across all of MLB history. At best, we have about 20 years of solid defensive data out of the 150 years of pro baseball\u2019s history. The second problem is that you can\u2019t compare an outfielder\u2019s defensive performance easily against catchers or the other infield positions easily. A shortstop, for example, is going to have so many more defensive opportunities compared to an outfielder. The third and final problem is that some of the stats we have don\u2019t capture the difficulty of robbing a HR. Catch probability doesn\u2019t factor in the height of the wall at all, which is why statistically the Jo Adell game doesn\u2019t look all that impressive when it obviously is impressive. With all that said, I\u2019d say it\u2019s the best defensive performance in a game I\u2019ve seen by an outfielder in the last 25 years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Makakilo: I\u2019m thrilled to know that the glove, which Jo Adell used in the 3 catches, will go to the Hall of Fame at the end of the season. It gladdens my soul to honor an extraordinary achievement by a player very unlikely to reach the Hall of Fame.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Spencer: It may well be. I tend to be a fan of amazing infield play over outfield, but what he did is incredibly impressive. Great to see.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">James: It was certainly among them. I know Stark tried to find an answer and had little luck in finding a solid one. It will certainly go down as one of the greatest ever and likely one of the greatest any of us will see in our lifetimes &#8211; until someone else does it next week, just because that\u2019s how fickle baseball can be.<\/p>\n<p>Besides baseball, what is your favorite summertime activity?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Wesley: Being able to enjoy the beautiful night\u2019s sky without freezing my a** off. I\u2019ve conveniently always been more of a night owl, so while southern Arizona gets hot during the day, it\u2019s generally cooler at night as long as you aren\u2019t deep in the Phoenix and Tucson metro areas. I live just southeast of Tucson, where it still gets quite chilly at night even when hitting triple digit temps during the day, while also having some of the darkest skies in Western North America that aren\u2019t in the middle of nowhere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Makakilo:  Play pickleball. I registered for two tournaments (one in April and one in June). Each has random partners assigned in each round, so my expectation is mostly fun.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Spencer: Homemade pizza and movie nights in a backyard. The ideal cookout style yard games, etc. absolute perfection.<br \/>James: Saturday dinners with the close friends at my besty\u2019s place. We do various themes and just chill with some adult beverages, good food, good friends, great vibes. Whenever it cools down, we\u2019ll sit around the fire pit instead of the patio table. Just chilling and relaxing. Depending on the weekend, there is likely footy watching involved.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Since last we spoke, the Diamondbacks have been one of the hottest teams in baseball. What\u2019s going right&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":674469,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,75770,4314,5,38,40669,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-674468","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-arizona-diamondbacks","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks-analysis","11":"tag-arizonadiamondbacks","12":"tag-baseball","13":"tag-diamondbacks","14":"tag-diamondbacks-opinion-analysis","15":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=674468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/674469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=674468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=674468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=674468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}