{"id":674784,"date":"2026-04-13T13:55:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T13:55:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674784\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T13:55:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T13:55:33","slug":"guardians-vs-cardinals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/674784\/","title":{"rendered":"Guardians vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Guardians are -118 favorites vs the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>Guardians vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Guardians \/ Cardinals TV Channel: GDTV | CATV<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians (-118) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-102) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Guardians are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-7 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 1-1, 2.04 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-0, 3.38 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Guardians vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineGuardians-1.5   +145O 8   -110-118Cardinals +1.5   -180U 8   -110-102<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday\u2018s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Guardians vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Gavin Williams has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chase DeLauter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+12.00 Units \/ 133% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Gavin Williams has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Gavin Williams has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units \/ 90% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+32.70 Units \/ 409% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Guardians Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+21.20 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.90 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+8.55 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.30 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.00 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 9-7 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units \/ 0.68% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units \/ 31.52% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units \/ -15.95% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units \/ 6.48% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-7 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units \/ -12.59% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units \/ 13.23% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units \/ 9.26% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units \/ -18.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians are 35-4 (.875) when they\u2019ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .024.<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians were 33-4 (.868) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians were 24-2 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .024.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 133-8 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Guardians batted just .186 in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .545 (690 PA\u2019s) in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians hitters slugged just .295 in righty-righty matchups in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA\u2019s in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA\u2019s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters slugged just .489 when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters are slugging just .484 with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting just .157 with two outs this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.51 (498.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .262.<\/p>\n<p>Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (706.0 IP) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15%  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Cardinals pitchers  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Guardians vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Guardians are -118 favorites vs the Cardinals Guardians vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs Guardians&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":649838,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2403],"tags":[5,160,4,673,67,4311,4310],"class_list":{"0":"post-674784","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-st-louis-cardinals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-cardinals","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-st-louis","12":"tag-st-louis-cardinals","13":"tag-stlouis","14":"tag-stlouiscardinals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116397746347590318","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674784","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=674784"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/674784\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/649838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=674784"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=674784"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=674784"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}