{"id":676947,"date":"2026-04-16T13:51:26","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T13:51:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/676947\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T13:51:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T13:51:26","slug":"rays-vs-white-sox-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/676947\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays vs White Sox Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Rays are -125 favorites vs the White Sox<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs White Sox Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Rays \/ White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | RATV<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on April 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Rays are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-11 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 3-0, 3.94 ERA<\/p>\n<p>White Sox starting pitcher: Jordan Leasure 1-0, 4.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineRays-1.5   +140O 8.5   -120-125White Sox +1.5   -170U 8.5   +100+105<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Rays vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+8.15 Units \/ 91% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units \/ 45% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Everson Pereira has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.50 Units \/ 161% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.55 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.20 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.95 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>White Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games at home (+7.30 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.45 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-7 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units \/ 11.31% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units \/ 16.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units \/ 46.77% ROI<\/p>\n<p>3-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units \/ -55.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-11 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units \/ -36.49% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units \/ -19.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units \/ 15.83% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units \/ -26.14% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tWhite Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJunior Caminero<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+300<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tMunetaka Murakami<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+390<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJonathan Aranda<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+425<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYandy Diaz<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+425<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tColson Montgomery<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+425<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tWhite Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tWhite Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 8-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are 7-2 (.778) after a win this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .531.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.<\/p>\n<p>The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox are just 66-168 (.282) after a loss since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox are just 11-104 (.096) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox are just 85-39 (.685) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox are just 91-24 (.791) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have put 43% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against RHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>White Sox hitters are slugging just .287 against RHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox hitters are slugging just .216 against RHP this month (13 games) \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2024 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The White Sox have won just 15% of games in which their opponents scored first  since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters  since the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 9% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Rays vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Rays are -125 favorites vs the White Sox Rays vs White Sox Over \/ Under today: 8.5&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":676948,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2377],"tags":[5,4,297,2550,68,2551,2549],"class_list":{"0":"post-676947","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-rays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rays","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-rays","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabayrays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116414716397046949","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/676947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=676947"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/676947\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/676948"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=676947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=676947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=676947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}