{"id":677131,"date":"2026-04-16T20:21:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T20:21:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677131\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T20:21:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T20:21:24","slug":"4-questions-for-the-red-sox-three-weeks-into-the-2026-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677131\/","title":{"rendered":"4 Questions for the Red Sox Three Weeks Into the 2026 Season"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!D1FA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47267104-f762-4832-8d78-618ac1c4151b_612x408.jpeg\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/47267104-f762-4832-8d78-618ac1c4151b_612x.jpeg\" width=\"612\" height=\"408\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/47267104-f762-4832-8d78-618ac1c4151b_612x408.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:408,&quot;width&quot;:612,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:32034,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/beyondthemonster.substack.com\/i\/194424810?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47267104-f762-4832-8d78-618ac1c4151b_612x408.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a>Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran (Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Through three weeks of play, the Red Sox sit at 7-11 to begin their 2026 season. Much of that losing came during a five-game skid following Opening Day, but over its last 12 games, the team has posted a 6-6 record, returning to be this year\u2019s iteration of the .500-Sox we all know and love.<\/p>\n<p>By getting at least somewhat back on course, the Red Sox have restored some optimism that fans might have lost during the first week of the season, but even so, this is still a group that\u2019s brought more confusion than confidence in the early-going thanks to positive developments in some areas, and negative developments in others.<\/p>\n<p>As such, here are four questions we\u2019re still asking about the Red Sox before they start their next homestand on Friday against the Detroit Tigers.<\/p>\n<p>With Willson Contreras, Wilyer Abreu, and Caleb Durbin all getting the day off for the series finale against the Twins on Wednesday, Alex Cora shook up the lineup a bit and moved center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela to the two-hole. With the opportunity, Rafaela went 1-for-3 on the day with a walk and two runs scored in what proved to be a highly productive game for the offense.<\/p>\n<p>Rafaela has been a fixture at the bottom of the lineup for the past three seasons for the Sox, but has been one of the team\u2019s best bats in 2026. So far, he\u2019s hitting .300 with an OBP of .386. He\u2019s not driving the ball (SLG of .380), but has proved to be one of the few players that can get on base regularly and only strikes out 17.5 percent of the time.<\/p>\n<p>While we know Rafaela has been prone to hot and cold spells at the plate throughout his career, he\u2019s been one of the better sources of offense for the team so far and perhaps warrants some more opportunities at the plate by sliding up in the lineup. This would make even more sense if guys like Jarren Duran and Caleb Durbin (who had previously been batting second) continue to struggle.<\/p>\n<p>Even if it\u2019s not something that lasts for a long time, it could perhaps be worth a shot to move Rafaela up just to build some more offensive momentum for the team.<\/p>\n<p>The abundance of outfielders has been talked about ad nauseam for the better part of two years, but hadn\u2019t quite manifested itself until Roman Anthony was promoted last season. And even then it didn\u2019t fully prove to be a problem until now &#8211; the first extended period of time that Anthony, Duran, Abreu, Rafaela, and Masataka Yoshida have all been on the roster together and expected to regularly contribute. <\/p>\n<p>Through 18 games, it\u2019s shown to be a situation that isn\u2019t sustainable. <\/p>\n<p>On any given night, there\u2019s no telling who will be starting in the outfield, at DH, or on the bench. This prevents any of the five guys from establishing a rhythm when their schedules are so hectic. It\u2019s especially been problematic for Duran who has struggled at the plate so far (.521 OPS and 28.4 percent strikeout rate), and for Anthony, who\u2019s been streaky at the plate while his defensive development isn\u2019t getting the benefit of regular reps in the outfield.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps the Red Sox were relying on an injury or one of the outfielders struggling much more than the others to fix the issue. An injury hasn\u2019t happened yet and the sample size is too small to bench anyone, but hoping the situation resolves itself on it\u2019s own isn\u2019t the strategy to employ going forward. <\/p>\n<p>Maybe the best way to fix the problem is to eventually trade Duran or Yoshida after flirting with the idea for so long. Or maybe it\u2019s moving Rafaela to the infield on a more regular basis if Caleb Durbin or Marcelo Mayer continues to struggle (more on them in a moment). Everyone will have their own opinion on the best way to solve the log-jam, but the one thing that\u2019s certain is that having too many players can actually be detrimental sometimes.<\/p>\n<p>The infield was the biggest question mark for the Red Sox coming into the year and it\u2019s still proving to be one. Willson Contreras has been great and Trevor Story looks to be heating up, but the team hasn\u2019t gotten much from third baseman Caleb Durbin or second baseman Marcelo Mayer so far.<\/p>\n<p>It might be unfair to jump on either player right now for their slow starts at the plate given their age, relative inexperience, and defensive values. But if their bats stay cool, it\u2019s reasonable to wonder if or when the Red Sox adjust.<\/p>\n<p>In Mayer\u2019s case he\u2019s been hitting the ball decently hard with a 61st-percentile average exit velocity and is taking his walks. His platoon splits have an extremely small sample size currently, but he\u2019s 3-for-4 against left-handed pitchers this year as a bonus. However, he\u2019s still striking out at a 31.2 percent rate &#8211; something that doesn\u2019t help a lineup with plenty of swing-and-miss in it already. <\/p>\n<p>As for Durbin, his numbers are driven down from a six-game hitless streak to start the season, but he\u2019s been as advertised from a bat-to-ball standpoint, striking out just 14.5 percent of the time so far. On the downside, he\u2019s hitting the ball on the ground at 63 percent of the time &#8211; a 19.2-percent increase from last season, which isn\u2019t inspiring for a lineup without many extra base hits to speak of thus far.<\/p>\n<p>If neither player can get out of their rut, perhaps the Red Sox do explore moving Rafaela to the infield to relieve the outfield\u2019s congestion while also giving Durbin or Mayer the chance to find themselves again in the minors. Or maybe the promotion of someone like Mikey Romero later in the year forces their hand.<\/p>\n<p>Either Durbin or Mayer is capable of going on a hot streak to turn their numbers around and provide a boost for the offense, but we\u2019ll be in wait-and-see mode until it happens. <\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox rotation was vaunted as one of the best in baseball coming into the year, but it\u2019s been far from that so far. Furthermore, the starting pitchers not being able to consistently get into the sixth or even the fifth inning has taxed the bullpen, as the Red Sox currently have gotten 68.1 innings from relief pitchers so far, which is the sixth most of in baseball.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been too small of a sample size to remove anyone from the rotation and Connelly Early, Brayan Bello, and Ranger Suarez are all coming off their best starts of the year. Bello and Suarez in particular came into the season without the benefit of a traditional ramp-up by playing in the World Baseball Classic. Now that both have four starts under their belts, perhaps they\u2019ve turned a corner.<\/p>\n<p>Garrett Crochet and Sonny Gray have both gotten off to rocky starts as well. Yet Crochet\u2019s 11-run outing against the Twins didn\u2019t seem to drum up much concern from the team and Gray is a veteran that\u2019s proven to be able to adjust his approach throughout his career. There\u2019s no guarantee that either pitcher will turn it around, but their pedigree perhaps gives them some benefit of the doubt for now.<\/p>\n<p>Might Payton Tolle factor into the equation though?<\/p>\n<p>Through just 15 innings in Triple-A this year, he has a 3.00 ERA and 2.49 FIP, picking up his dominance right where he\u2019d left off in 2025. Furthermore, the secondary pitches (like his curveball) he\u2019d been trying to develop have gotten some solid returns in Worcester so far. The Red Sox were aggressive in promoting him late last season, so perhaps they wouldn\u2019t be afraid to do so again in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Alex Cora and company have shied away from using a six-man rotation in the past, but perhaps it could benefit the team as it\u2019s currently constructed. It could give someone like Tolle a shot at the major league level if he continues to dominate, while also spacing out starts for guys like Crochet and Gray who have struggled thus far.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran (Getty Images) Through three weeks of play, the Red Sox sit at&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":677132,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2375],"tags":[5,141,48,2542,4,89,2543],"class_list":{"0":"post-677131","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-boston-red-sox","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-boston","10":"tag-boston-red-sox","11":"tag-bostonredsox","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-red-sox","14":"tag-redsox"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116416249538600134","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=677131"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677131\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/677132"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=677131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=677131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=677131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}