{"id":677666,"date":"2026-04-17T14:06:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:06:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677666\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T14:06:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:06:24","slug":"blue-jays-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677666\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays \/ Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | RSN | TVA<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays (+118) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Blue Jays are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 15-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-2, 7.82 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 3-0, 2.88 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBlue Jays+1.5   -185O 9   -120+118Diamondbacks -1.5   +150U 9   +100-145<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday\u2018s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.50 Units \/ 242% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Davis Schneider has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+12.35 Units \/ 122% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+13.00 Units \/ 325% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+11.15 Units \/ 159% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.95 Units \/ 75% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units \/ 77% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.95 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.60 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.35 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.70 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+5.00 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.55 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.25 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+11.60 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.40 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.25 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-13 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units \/ -42.32% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units \/ -35.13% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units \/ -4.8% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units \/ -4.8% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 15-4 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units \/ 31.75% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units \/ 25.51% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units \/ 16.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units \/ -23.56% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tKetel Marte<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+350<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tDaulton Varsho<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tCorbin Carroll<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+475<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tVladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+550<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJesus Sanchez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .092.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are 3-3 (.500) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .134.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are just 68-20 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are just 77-7 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s  since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have 45 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (47%) against RHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have chased 48% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .275 (476 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .660 (476 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28%  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 29% of left-handed batters they faced this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .237 (169 PA\u2019s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21%  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20%  this season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 9&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":658835,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,4314,5,38,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-677666","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-arizona-diamondbacks","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-arizonadiamondbacks","11":"tag-baseball","12":"tag-diamondbacks","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116420436889956569","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677666","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=677666"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677666\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/658835"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=677666"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=677666"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=677666"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}