{"id":677671,"date":"2026-04-17T14:19:46","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:19:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677671\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T14:19:46","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:19:46","slug":"brewers-vs-marlins-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677671\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Brewers \/ Marlins TV Channel: MATV | BRTV<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Brewers are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-12 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 3.22 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-2, 4.41 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5   +155O 8.5   -115-105Marlins +1.5   -190U 8.5   -105-115<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.60 Units \/ 340% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units \/ 144% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units \/ 95% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units \/ 57% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Connor Norby has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.90 Units \/ 141% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Connor Norby has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units \/ 77% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.10 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.25 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.85 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.55 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+4.60 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 11-7 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units \/ 26.38% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units \/ -6.67% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units \/ 4.71% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units \/ -14.62% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units \/ -25.37% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units \/ -2.45% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units \/ 30.95% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units \/ -38.94% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tGary Sanchez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+425<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJake Bauers<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+500<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWilliam Contreras<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+550<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tConnor Norby<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+725<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tGarrett Mitchell<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+725<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .108.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 97-65 (.599)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 11-75 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season \u2014 tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,062 PA\u2019s) against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters had 121 extra-base hits out of 435 total hits (just 28%) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters had an OBP of .339 (3,229 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters slugged just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are batting .203 with two-strikes this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base  this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have picked-off 6 runners  this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have walked 7% of batters  over the past seven days (6 games) \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 5th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489\/81) at home in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins Brewers vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Brewers&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":677672,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2401],"tags":[5,136,843,59,4280,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-677671","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-milwaukee-brewers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-brewers","10":"tag-milwaukee","11":"tag-milwaukee-brewers","12":"tag-milwaukeebrewers","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116420491558325644","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=677671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677671\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/677672"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=677671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=677671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=677671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}