{"id":677694,"date":"2026-04-17T14:55:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:55:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677694\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T14:55:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T14:55:11","slug":"cardinals-vs-astros-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/677694\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardinals vs Astros Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs Astros Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals \/ Astros TV Channel: CATV | SCHN | ESUN<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals (+118) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Cardinals are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-12 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 1-2, 5.15 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 0-0, 0.00 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineCardinals+1.5   -190O 8.5   -110+118Astros -1.5   +155U 8.5   -110-145<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday\u2018s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Cardinals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+29.50 Units \/ 328% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.85 Units \/ 99% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.20 Units \/ 94% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.25 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.40 Units \/ 87% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Yordan Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+8.75 Units \/ 97% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 40 away games (+5.45 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.25 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.10 Units \/ 86% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Astros Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.80 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.20 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.40 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-8 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units \/ -8.93% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units \/ 16.94% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units \/ 12.31% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units \/ -21.29% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-12 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units \/ -16.45% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units \/ -28.44% ROI<\/p>\n<p>13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units \/ 21.63% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units \/ -33.02% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tAstros vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYordan Alvarez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+310<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tChristian Walker<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+390<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tNolan Gorman<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJordan Walker<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tAlec Burleson<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+450<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tAstros vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tAstros vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 70-4 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .907.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 29-18 (.617) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 148-5 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.<\/p>\n<p>Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros were 56-7 (.889) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are 7-3 (.700) at home this season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .565.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA\u2019s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters slugged just .489 when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting just .157 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting just .215 with two outs since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters are slugging .871 in lefty-lefty matchups this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters have an OPS of .932 (147 PA\u2019s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros are batting .419 in lefty-lefty matchups this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros hitters have an OPS of 1.371 (38 PA\u2019s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Cardinals pitchers  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15%  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Astros pitchers have walked 14% of batters  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros have allowed 4.25 runs per game (85\/20) in the first 5 innings this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.01 (172.1 IP)  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Astros have allowed 7.50 runs per game (75\/10) on the road this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Cardinals vs Astros and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals Cardinals vs Astros Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Cardinals&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":648919,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2389],"tags":[42,5,139,54,3211,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-677694","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-astros","8":"tag-astros","9":"tag-baseball","10":"tag-houston","11":"tag-houston-astros","12":"tag-houstonastros","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116420629350944995","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=677694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/677694\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/648919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=677694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=677694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=677694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}