{"id":678404,"date":"2026-04-18T14:00:26","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T14:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/678404\/"},"modified":"2026-04-18T14:00:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T14:00:26","slug":"giants-vs-nationals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/678404\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants vs Nationals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Giants are -118 favorites vs the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 9.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Giants \/ Nationals TV Channel: NSBA | NATV<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants (-118) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-102) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Giants are 8-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-8 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Giants starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-2, 5.18 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-1, 4.80 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineGiants-1.5   +140O 9.5   -105-118Nationals +1.5   -170U 9.5   -115-102<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Giants vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+8.90 Units \/ 178% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Drew Gilbert has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.10 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+22.30 Units \/ 248% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.25 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.75 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.25 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.95 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 50 games (+3.95 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.85 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Giants are 7-12 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units \/ -34.49% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units \/ -19.91% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units \/ 1.13% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units \/ -8.66% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 11-8 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units \/ 5.3% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units \/ 16.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units \/ 33.86% ROI<\/p>\n<p>6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units \/ -42.86% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are 6-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .765.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 1-6 (.143) at home this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .557.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401)  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters slugged just .351 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters are slugging just .403 on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are batting .305 against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against RHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers  since the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers  in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have allowed 8.57 runs per game (60\/7) at home this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.12 (178.0 IP)  this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.16 (64.0 IP) at home this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.64 (799.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Giants vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Giants are -118 favorites vs the Nationals Giants vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 9.5 Runs Giants&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":678405,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2398],"tags":[5,4,415,414,71,4222],"class_list":{"0":"post-678404","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-nationals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-nationals","11":"tag-washington","12":"tag-washington-nationals","13":"tag-washingtonnationals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116426075293034987","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=678404"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678404\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/678405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=678404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=678404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=678404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}