{"id":678410,"date":"2026-04-18T14:09:31","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T14:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/678410\/"},"modified":"2026-04-18T14:09:31","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T14:09:31","slug":"brewers-vs-marlins-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/678410\/","title":{"rendered":"Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Brewers \/ Marlins TV Channel: MATV | BRTV<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Brewers are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-13 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 4.32 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-1, 2.70 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Brewers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBrewers-1.5   +165O 7.5   -118-105Marlins +1.5   -200U 7.5   -102-115<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Gary Sanchez has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+15.05 Units \/ 150% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+12.60 Units \/ 252% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 away games (+12.20 Units \/ 90% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.60 Units \/ 96% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+24.00 Units \/ 343% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units \/ 60% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Agustin Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+7.95 Units \/ 133% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.10 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.85 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.80 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.20 Units \/ 9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.75 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+3.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 12-7 against the Run Line (+7 Units \/ 30.7% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units \/ -2.63% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units \/ 9.18% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units \/ -19.17% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-13 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units \/ -29.64% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units \/ -6.65% ROI<\/p>\n<p>13-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units \/ 33.94% ROI<\/p>\n<p>5-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units \/ -42.01% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tGary Sanchez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+475<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJake Bauers<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+525<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tAgustin Ramirez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+550<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tConnor Norby<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWilliam Contreras<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tMarlins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are just 6-4 (.600) when leading entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers were 97-65 (.599)  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 15-75 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,510 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters struck out in just 21% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters averaged just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance  in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base  this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners  this season \u2014 most in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Brewers pitchers have allowed 256 barreled balls  in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd fewest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.59 (1442.0 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 5th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489\/81) at home in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Brewers vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a 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For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Marlins Brewers vs Marlins Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Brewers&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":654514,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-678410","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-marlins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-marlins","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-marlins","12":"tag-miamimarlins","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116426110686832828","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678410","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=678410"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678410\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/654514"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=678410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=678410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=678410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}