{"id":679152,"date":"2026-04-19T14:20:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T14:20:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679152\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T14:20:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T14:20:15","slug":"blue-jays-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679152\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays \/ Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | RSN1<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Phoenix, AZ.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Blue Jays are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 17-4 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-1, 2.35 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 1-1, 3.49 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBlue Jays-1.5   +154O 8   -105-110Diamondbacks +1.5   -190U 8   -115-110<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+12.50 Units \/ 156% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units \/ 129% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jose Fernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games at home (+11.00 Units \/ 183% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units \/ 46% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.30 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.50 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.45 Units \/ 7% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+3.00 Units \/ 5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+12.45 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.05 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-15 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units \/ -50.1% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units \/ -39.35% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units \/ -4.75% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units \/ -4.34% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 17-4 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units \/ 39.02% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units \/ 31.06% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units \/ 14.16% ROI<\/p>\n<p>8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units \/ -21.4% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tKetel Marte<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tCorbin Carroll<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+475<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tVladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+525<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tAdrian Del Castillo<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJesus Sanchez<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tDiamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays are 14-63 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .092.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .797.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are 3-3 (.500) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .129.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are just 69-20 (.775) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s  since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are batting .270 against LHP since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks batted .289 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of 1.102 (43 PA\u2019s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers won 45% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Jays won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21%  in the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters  this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers  this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over \/ Under today: 8&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":679153,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2378],"tags":[5,377,2554,4,282,70,2553],"class_list":{"0":"post-679152","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-toronto-blue-jays","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-blue-jays","10":"tag-bluejays","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-toronto","13":"tag-toronto-blue-jays","14":"tag-torontobluejays"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116431815417514975","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=679152"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679152\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/679153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=679152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=679152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=679152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}