{"id":679222,"date":"2026-04-19T16:30:39","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T16:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679222\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T16:30:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T16:30:39","slug":"blue-jays-vs-diamondbacks-prediction-odds-home-run-pick-for-todays-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679222\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The Arizona Diamondbacks<\/a> struggle against the splitter, which should play into the hands of Toronto Blue Jays<\/a> ace Kevin Gausman<\/a> this afternoon.<\/p>\n

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Read on to see why in my Blue Jays<\/a> vs. Diamondbacks predictions and MLB picks<\/a> for today’s game.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks predictionsBlue Jays vs Diamondbacks best bet: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 strikeouts (+105)<\/p>\n

When Kevin Gausman<\/a>\u2019s splitter is dancing, he\u2019s one of the most lethal pitchers in the majors, which makes his 5.5-strikeout total at plus-money an attractive price.<\/p>\n

The Toronto Blue Jays<\/a> ace has been racking up the Ks, averaging 7.75 strikeouts this season, which ranks in the 94th percentile in K%, while using the splitter as the put-away pitch, garnering a 44.2% whiff rate and a strikeout rate of 42.9%<\/p>\n

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The split-fastball has given this Arizona Diamondbacks<\/a> lineup fits this season, with the third-highest strikeout rate in the majors, with a 42.4% whiff rate against the pitch.<\/p>\n

Additionally, Gausman owns a .164 opponent batting average against this lineup.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"Covers\"<\/p>\n

Covers<\/p>\n

COVERS INTEL:<\/p>\n

The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the majors with a .294 OBP.<\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll continue to bet on Gausman and take the Under on his hits prop set at 5.5, a total he\u2019s stayed Under on in three of his four starts this season. Additionally, the Arizona<\/a> lineup is just 12-for-73 against Gausman through his career, with a .447 OPS<\/p>\n

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Lastly, I\u2019ll take Lourdes Gurriel Jr.<\/a> to go Over 0.5 strikeouts tonight. He\u2019s 0-for-2 with a pair of strikeouts against Gausman throughout his career. <\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks SGP<\/p>\n

Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 strikeouts<\/p>\n

Kevin Gausman Under 5.5 hits<\/p>\n

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Over 0.5 strikeouts<\/p>\n

img loading=”lazy” width=”100%” height=”null” src=”https:\/\/img.covers.com\/editorial\/2026\/jaysmlcbp.jpg” alt=”Canada\u2019s best price for Jays”Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/a> (+500)<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll make this a half-unit wager. Ryne Nelson<\/a> has been hit hard this season, ranking in the 10th percentile in hard-hit rate. This has resulted in four home runs allowed this year, all against his four-seamer.<\/p>\n

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/a> crushes the baseball and has a .417 average against the four-seamer, with a .500 slug rate against the pitch. He’s 2-for-8 against Nelson, with one of those hits being a home run.\u00a0<\/p>\n

2026 Transparency record<\/p>\n

Best bets: 5-14, -6.35 units<\/p>\n

HR picks: 3-16, -1.6 units<\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks odds<\/p>\n

Moneyline: Toronto -110 | Arizona -110<\/p>\n

Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+155) | Arizona +1.5 (-185)<\/p>\n

Over\/Under: Over 8 | Under 8<\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks trend<\/p>\n

The Blue Jays have cashed the first five innings team total Under in six of their last seven games for +5.75 units and a 74% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends<\/a> for Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks.<\/p>\n

How to watch Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and game info<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Sunday, April 19, 2026<\/p>\n

First pitch<\/p>\n

4:10 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

Sportsnet, Dbacks.TV<\/p>\n

Blue Jays starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Kevin Gausman
(0-1, 2.42 ERA)<\/p>\n

Diamondbacks starting pitcher<\/p>\n

Ryne Nelson
(1-1, 3.54 ERA)<\/p>\n

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks latest injuriesBlue Jays vs Diamondbacks weather<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

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This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":679223,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2378],"tags":[146,22,5,377,2554,389,1447,4,5938,282,70,2553,93],"class_list":{"0":"post-679222","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-toronto-blue-jays","8":"tag-arizona","9":"tag-arizona-diamondbacks","10":"tag-baseball","11":"tag-blue-jays","12":"tag-bluejays","13":"tag-kevin-gausman","14":"tag-lourdes-gurriel-jr","15":"tag-mlb","16":"tag-ryne-nelson","17":"tag-toronto","18":"tag-toronto-blue-jays","19":"tag-torontobluejays","20":"tag-vladimir-guerrero-jr"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116432329722971780","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=679222"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679222\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/679223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=679222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=679222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=679222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}