{"id":679336,"date":"2026-04-19T19:49:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-19T19:49:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679336\/"},"modified":"2026-04-19T19:49:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T19:49:30","slug":"the-scouting-report-braves-vs-phillies-game-two","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679336\/","title":{"rendered":"The Scouting Report: Braves vs Phillies, Game Two"},"content":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s Atlanta Braves baseball! Let\u2019s break down everything you need to know about tonight\u2019s matchup.<\/p>\n

First Pitch: 7:20 PM ET<\/p>\n

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia<\/p>\n

TV: Peacock<\/p>\n

Radio: 680 AM\/93.7 FM The Fan<\/p>\n

Weather: 55\u00b0 partly sunny, wind WNW at 13 mph<\/p>\n

RF Ronald Acu\u00f1a Jr.<\/a>
C Drake Baldwin<\/a>
1B Matt Olson<\/a>
3B Austin Riley<\/a>
2B Ozzie Albies<\/a>
LF Mike Yastrzemski<\/a>
DH Dominic Smith<\/a>
SS Mauricio Dub\u00f3n<\/a>
CF Michael Harris II<\/a><\/p>\n

Quick thoughts:<\/p>\n

SS Trea Turner (R)
DH Kyle Schwarber (L)
1B Bryce Harper (L)
RF Adolis Garc\u00eda (R)
LF Brandon Marsh (L)
3B Alec Bohm (R)
2B Bryson Stott (L)
C Rafael March\u00e1n (S)
CF Justin Crawford (L) <\/p>\n

Quick thoughts:<\/p>\n

Quick snapshot:<\/p>\n

3.32 ERA \/ 3.16 xERA \/ 4.14 FIP<\/p>\n

19.3 K% \/ 11.4 BB% \/ 8% K-BB%<\/p>\n

Pitch mix<\/p>\n

vs LHH: 45% four-seamer, 33% slider, 12% curveball, 7% changeup, 2% cutter & sinker<\/p>\n

vs RHH: 49% slider, 33% four-seamer, 13% sinker, 4% curveball, 1% cutter<\/p>\n

What\u2019s changed in 2026:<\/p>\n

What to watch:<\/p>\n

There is not a ton of experience versus Holmes on Philly\u2019s roster – in 20 career ABs, there are only three total hits off of Holmes. <\/p>\n

In Holmes\u2019 only career start against Philly, he went four innings last April with no runs allowed on three hits, striking out six but with four walks. <\/p>\n

Quick snapshot:<\/p>\n

The arsenal:<\/p>\n

Four-seamer (36%, 96.6 mph)<\/p>\n

Slider (19%, 88.5 mph)<\/p>\n

Sinker (14%, 95.0 mph)<\/p>\n

Curveball (13%, 81.0 mph)<\/p>\n

Splitter (10%, 87.5 mph)<\/p>\n

Sweeper (9%, 82.8 mph)<\/p>\n

How he attacks hitters:<\/p>\n

vs LHH: well-sequenced without notable tendencies<\/p>\n

42% four-seamer, 23% slider, 18% curveball, 13% splitter, 2% sweeper, 1% sinker<\/p>\n

vs RHH: well-sequenced without notable tendencies<\/p>\n

34% sinker, 26% four-seamer, 20% sweeper, 13% slider, 4% splitter, 3% curveball<\/p>\n

Sequencing:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

How to read a plinko chart: Each circle represents the usage of a pitcher\u2019s arsenal in a given count (color key below). The thickness of the connecting lines reflects how often each count occurs, helping show how a pitcher navigates an at-bat.<\/p>\n

No Braves have seen Painter in his brief major league career, so there\u2019s no preexisting at-bats to work off of. He\u2019s also very well sequenced, so this will be down to pitch recognition and capitalizing on Painter\u2019s mistakes in location. <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Likely available:<\/p>\n

Used recently:<\/p>\n

Both Dylan Lee<\/a> and Robert Suarez<\/a> pitched last night but were efficient enough that they can come back today, if needed.<\/p>\n

Potential limitations:<\/p>\n

Quick takeaway:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Likely available:<\/p>\n

Used recently:<\/p>\n

Potential limitations:<\/p>\n

Lefty Tanner Banks<\/a> had extended workloads in the first two games of the series, so he should be down today.<\/p>\n

Quick takeaway:<\/p>\n

If Philly gets to the late game with a lead, who closes the game with Jhoan Duran<\/a> on the IL? <\/p>\n

How well does Atlanta handle Andrew Painter without the ability to sit on any specific pitch? That being said, how does Painter fare against the top of the lineup? The first inning will tell us a lot. <\/p>\n

The Phillies are favored on the moneyline today (FanDuel) in what projects to be a low-scoring game (O\/U 8). Who strikes first, and who can hold the lead late? Give me Atlanta in their first sweep of the season. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Atlanta Braves baseball! Let\u2019s break down everything you need to know about tonight\u2019s matchup. First Pitch: 7:20…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":679337,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2397],"tags":[5,4,144,25,4216,40],"class_list":{"0":"post-679336","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-philadelphia-phillies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-philadelphia","11":"tag-philadelphia-phillies","12":"tag-philadelphiaphillies","13":"tag-phillies"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116433110815029600","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=679336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679336\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/679337"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=679336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=679336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=679336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}