The San Diego Padres enter Sunday\u2019s game against the Los Angeles Angels with a 14-7 record after winning 12 of their last 14 contests. The Angels entered this series against San Diego with a 2-1-1 record in their last 4 series, all of which were played against quality opponents. These teams have split the first 2 games of this series and Sunday\u2019s matchup is an intriguing one with the ML priced as somewhat of a coin flip.<\/p>\n
Michael King is the scheduled starter for San Diego as the right-hander looks to make his 5th start of the season. His first 4 outings have resulted in a 2.78 ERA across 22.2 frames. King has allowed just 1 home run so far, but his underlying metrics are a bit worrisome. His 11.9%-barrel rate ranks just 22nd percentile, and he is walking 10.8% of the batters he is facing. King is also seeing a reduction in strikeout rate so far, and I believe that has to do largely with the new ABS zone. Despite his 2.78 ERA King has a 4.54 xERA behind it. The Angels enter Sunday ranking 9th in wOBA with a 113 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.<\/p>\n
Reid Detmers is an arm I\u2019ve wanted to believe in for several years. He flashed stretches of dominance, but then can be demoted on a flash due to unplayable performances. Detmers is on right now and I am looking to back his current form. His 3.57 ERA is backed by a 2.52 xERA thanks to a low walk rate, a .208 xBA, and impressive strikeout numbers. His last start resulted in 7 innings of 1-run ball with 9 strikeouts against the Yankees. Now he gets a matchup against a Padre lineup that ranks 22nd in wOBA with a 77 wRC+ against left-handed pitching so far.<\/p>\n
Padres vs Angels prediction: LA Angels ML (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110 odds.<\/p>\n
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