{"id":679803,"date":"2026-04-20T14:45:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T14:45:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679803\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T14:45:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T14:45:54","slug":"tigers-vs-red-sox-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/679803\/","title":{"rendered":"Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Tigers<\/p>\n<p>Tigers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 8 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Tigers \/ Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DSN<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 am in Boston, MA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Tigers are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-15 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 4.12 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-1, 4.43 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineTigers+1.5   -185O 8   -118+110Red Sox -1.5   +150U 8   -102-135<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday\u2018s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+22.00 Units \/ 440% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units \/ 67% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Wenceel Perez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.50 Units \/ 128% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.35 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.80 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+7.50 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.00 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.05 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.20 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.00 Units \/ 4% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-10 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units \/ 8.02% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units \/ -1.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units \/ -13.32% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units \/ 4.79% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-15 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units \/ -37.06% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units \/ -32.86% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units \/ -0.43% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units \/ -9.27% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRed Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWilyer Abreu<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+450<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tKerry Carpenter<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+475<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tWillson Contreras<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+500<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tRiley Greene<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+525<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tMarcelo Mayer<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+600<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRed Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRed Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .107.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are 8-3 (.727) after a win this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .540.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are 84-24 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .714.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.<\/p>\n<p>The Red Sox are just 8-13 (.381)  this season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Tigers are batting .280 at home this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%)  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .331 (3,034 PA\u2019s) at home in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA\u2019s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .326 (1,777 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have 20 three-pitch strikeouts this season \u2014 4th fewest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.88 (809.2 IP) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet \u2014 \u2014 2nd longest in MLB<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .176 against Red Sox pitchers  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 4th highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Tigers Tigers vs Red Sox Over \/ Under today: 8&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":663296,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2386],"tags":[5,147,53,2583,4,594],"class_list":{"0":"post-679803","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-detroit-tigers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-detroit","10":"tag-detroit-tigers","11":"tag-detroittigers","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-tigers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116437578900706756","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679803","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=679803"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/679803\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/663296"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=679803"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=679803"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=679803"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}