Run Line<\/p>\n
Braves -1.5 (+102)Nationals +1.5 (-122)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Braves: -156Nationals: +129<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
Braves vs. Nationals Probable PitchersAtlanta: Bryce Elder (2-1, 0.77 ERA)Washington: Jake Irvin (1-2, 6.16 ERA)Braves vs. Nationals How to WatchDate: Monday, April 20Time: 6:45 p.m. ESTVenue: Nationals ParkHow to Watch (TV): ESPN Unlimited, BravesVision, Nationals.TVBraves record: 15-7Nationals record: 10-12Braves vs. Nationals Best MLB Prop BetBraves Best MLB Prop BetMichael Harris II to Hit a Home Run (+577)<\/p>\n
Harris has been on fire as of late, and he\u2019s one of three players that I\u2019m targeting to hit a home run on Monday, which I shared in today\u2019s Daily Dinger column at SI Betting<\/a>:\u00a0<\/p>\n Atlanta Braves outfielder Michael Harris II has gotten off to a strong start in the 2026 season, hitting .290 with four homers and an .816 OPS.<\/p>\n On Monday, he has one of the best matchups of anyone in Major League Baseball, as he\u2019s taking on the Washington Nationals and right-hander Jake Irvin. Washington\u2019s bullpen has been awful in 2026, allowing 22 home runs while posting a 5.37 ERA.\u00a0<\/p>\n Irvin has also struggled when it comes to limiting the long ball in his career, giving up an MLB-high 38 homers in the 2025 season and 90 homers in 94 starts in his entire career. This season, Irvin has a 6.16 ERA and has given up three long balls in four starts.<\/p>\n Harris has thrived against the Nationals righty in his career, going 7-for-18 with two doubles and a .950 OPs. He\u2019s never taken him deep, but I\u2019m buying Harris with his home run odds set at +577.<\/p>\n Harris is hitting .333 with three homers against righties this season, and he\u2019s hitting .379 with three home runs over the last two weeks of action. He\u2019s been too hot to pass up at this price on Monday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n Braves vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n Atlanta has the best run differential in Major League Baseball (plus-57) so far in the 2026 season, and it\u2019s been great on the road (7-3) heading into Monday\u2019s series opener.<\/p>\n Washington has played much better after a 4-8 start to the season, but I can\u2019t trust Irvin in this pitching matchup against a one-time All-Star in Elder.<\/p>\n Let\u2019s start on the Washington side.<\/p>\n Irvin ranks in the 24th percentile in expected ERA this season (5.07), and he\u2019s allowed at least two runs in every start despite being lifted in five innings or less in each game. That\u2019s a concern for Washington because it has a shaky bullpen (5.37 ERA) that has allowed a ton of home runs (22) in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n Atlanta is fourth in home runs and second in OPS this season, so it could completely turn this game even after Irvin exits.\u00a0<\/p>\n The Braves have the best team ERA in MLB and the No. 2 bullpen ERA (2.69) this season. Elder has been lights out to open the season, and his advanced numbers back that up. He\u2019s in the 90th percentile in expected ERA and the 87th percentile in expected batting average against.\u00a0<\/p>\n I think the Braves extend their winning streak to six against this Washington team that is just 2-7 at home.\u00a0<\/p>\n Pick: Braves Moneyline (-156 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Claim the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0$300 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>\u00a0and that bet wins.<\/p>\n
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