{"id":680367,"date":"2026-04-21T13:54:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:54:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/680367\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T13:54:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:54:19","slug":"padres-vs-rockies-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/680367\/","title":{"rendered":"Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Rockies<\/p>\n<p>Padres vs Rockies Over \/ Under today: 11 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Padres \/ Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in Denver, CO.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Padres are 15-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 14-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-0, 2.53 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rockies starting pitcher: Juan Mejia 0-2, 7.01 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePadres-1.5   +105O 11   -110-145Rockies +1.5   -130U 11   -110+120<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday\u2018s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.80 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Manny Machado has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units \/ 33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Karros has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games at home (+11.70 Units \/ 167% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>T.J. Rumfield has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Troy Johnston has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+8.30 Units \/ 119% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Padres Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.75 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.95 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (+9.90 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.75 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+7.00 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.05 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-7 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units \/ 16.8% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units \/ 30.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units \/ -11.88% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units \/ 4.5% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units \/ 15.68% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units \/ 6.3% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units \/ -25.73% ROI<\/p>\n<p>14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units \/ 17.03% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tYes<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tHunter Goodman<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+350<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tMickey Moniak<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+360<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJackson Merrill<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+380<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tManny Machado<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tRamon Laureano<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/baseball-23\/betting\/usa-9\/mlb-75\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+400<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tRockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies<\/p>\n<p>The Padres are 12-1 (.923) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres are 15-7 (.682)  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres are 10-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .767.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265)  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies are just 34-97 (.260) after a loss since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies are just 48-107 (.310) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.<\/p>\n<p>Padres Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA\u2019s against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 63 total hits (46%) with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .264 (3,384 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Rockies won only 22% of their road games in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Padres pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168\/162) in late innings in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17%  in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.50 (732.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.00 (1407.1 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Rockies Padres vs Rockies Over \/ Under today: 11 Runs Padres&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664652,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2405],"tags":[5,167,52,4316,4,168],"class_list":{"0":"post-680367","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-colorado-rockies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-colorado","10":"tag-colorado-rockies","11":"tag-coloradorockies","12":"tag-mlb","13":"tag-rockies"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116443038595950799","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/680367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=680367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/680367\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=680367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=680367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=680367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}