{"id":680387,"date":"2026-04-21T14:30:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T14:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/680387\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T14:30:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T14:30:29","slug":"pirates-vs-rangers-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/680387\/","title":{"rendered":"Pirates vs Rangers Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Pirates are +100 favorites vs the Rangers<\/p>\n<p>Pirates vs Rangers Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Pirates \/ Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SNPT<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Pirates are 13-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 12-10 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Pirates starting pitcher: Mason Montgomery 1-0, 4.83 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 0-1, 4.20 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Pirates vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylinePirates-1.5   +165O 8.5   -115+100Rangers +1.5   -200U 8.5   -105-120<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday\u2018s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Pirates vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+14.80 Units \/ 296% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units \/ 48% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ryan O\u2019Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.90 Units \/ 347% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Corey Seager has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.10 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.85 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.60 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.30 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.15 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+10.00 Units \/ 82% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units \/ 68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.85 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.10 Units \/ 53% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+6.15 Units \/ 10% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 14-8 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units \/ 21.18% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units \/ 10.41% ROI<\/p>\n<p>13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units \/ 12.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units \/ -22.52% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 12-10 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units \/ 1.79% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units \/ -3.26% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units \/ -3.89% ROI<\/p>\n<p>10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units \/ -3.13% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates are just 32-58 (.356) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .043.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers are just 7-20 (.259) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers are 7-70 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA\u2019s) on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .628 (3,396 PA\u2019s) on the road since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .263 (198 PA\u2019s) at home this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters have struck out in 31% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (3,131 PA\u2019s) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers are batting just .203 at home this season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (204.1 IP)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Rangers Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .205 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers have allowed 2.00 runs per game (12\/6) at home this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Pirates vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Pirates are +100 favorites vs the Rangers Pirates vs Rangers Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Pirates&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":664745,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2393],"tags":[5,4,149,1567,69,3240],"class_list":{"0":"post-680387","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-texas-rangers","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-rangers","11":"tag-texas","12":"tag-texas-rangers","13":"tag-texasrangers"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116443181263451506","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/680387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=680387"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/680387\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/664745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=680387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=680387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=680387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}