{"id":681074,"date":"2026-04-22T14:00:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681074\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T14:00:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:00:18","slug":"braves-vs-nationals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681074\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 9 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Braves \/ Nationals TV Channel: BRVN | NATV<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Braves are 16-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 14-9 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-1, 2.22 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-2, 7.11 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineBraves-1.5   +120O 9   -115-140Nationals +1.5   -145U 9   -105+115<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday\u2018s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units \/ 62% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units \/ 181% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+27.10 Units \/ 301% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units \/ 37% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.45 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 40 away games (+25.15 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+13.45 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.35 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.10 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.45 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-9 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units \/ 39.73% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units \/ 14.05% ROI<\/p>\n<p>11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units \/ -7.69% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units \/ 1.15% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 14-9 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units \/ 9.81% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units \/ 15.43% ROI<\/p>\n<p>17-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units \/ 36% ROI<\/p>\n<p>7-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units \/ -44.36% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tNationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are just 14-74 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are 16-8 (.667)  this season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 3-7 (.300) after a win this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 3-8 (.273) at home this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are just 34-57 (.370) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>Braves Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are batting .293 at home this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Braves are batting .272  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves hitters are slugging .448  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are batting just .178 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters had an OPS of just .640 (1,704 PA\u2019s) against LHP in the 2025 season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA\u2019s against RHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals are batting .194 with two-strikes this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 23 double plays in 146 opportunities (16%)  this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.<\/p>\n<p>Braves pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers  in the 2025 season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP)  in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (1641.2 IP)  since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Nationals have allowed 6.01 runs per game (553\/92) at home since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Braves vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Nationals Braves vs Nationals Over \/ Under today: 9 Runs Braves&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":678405,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2398],"tags":[5,4,415,414,71,4222],"class_list":{"0":"post-681074","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-nationals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-nationals","11":"tag-washington","12":"tag-washington-nationals","13":"tag-washingtonnationals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116448724486183300","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681074","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=681074"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681074\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/678405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=681074"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=681074"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=681074"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}