{"id":681139,"date":"2026-04-22T15:55:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T15:55:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681139\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T15:55:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T15:55:08","slug":"phillies-vs-cubs-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681139\/","title":{"rendered":"Phillies vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Todd<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Todd Cordell<\/a>
\n \u2022 Betting Analyst<\/p>\n

12+ years betting experience<\/p>\n

\n Updated:
\nApr 22, 2026 , 11:15 AM ET<\/p>\n

\u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n

A bad pitching matchup will lead the Cubbies to a victory in a game that should see plenty of offense.<\/p>\n

\"<\/p>\n

Photo By – Reuters Connect. Alex Bregman (3) hits an RBI single against the Pittsburgh Pirates.<\/p>\n

The Chicago Cubs have won seven straight games, including multi-run victories over Philadelphia in the first two games of the series.<\/p>\n

With a fatigued bullpen and Taijuan Walker expected to pitch in bulk relief, my Phillies vs. Cubs predictions expect Chicago to complete the sweep.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s take a closer look at my daily MLB picks<\/a> for April 22.<\/p>\n

Who will win Phillies vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (-170)<\/p>\n

The Philadelphia Phillies<\/a> are expected to use Kyle Backhus<\/a> as an opener before turning to Taijuan Walker<\/a> for a handful of innings. That\u2019s a recipe for disaster.<\/p>\n

Backhus has allowed four runs and a couple of homers in 6 2\/3 innings, while Walker\u2019s struggles have been even more alarming.<\/p>\n

He owns a 9.16 ERA, 2.04 WHIP, and has surrendered six homers in less than 19 innings of work. That’s resulted in a -0.81 win probability added (WPA), the worst mark of today\u2019s projected arms.<\/p>\n

The Chicago Cubs<\/a> rank fourth in runs per game and OPS, and should be heading for another big day.<\/p>\n

\"Covers\" COVERS INTEL: Chicago has posted a 21.9% line drive rate at home against right-handed pitching \u2014 the fifth-highest mark in the majors.<\/p>\n

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account \"Add<\/a>Phillies vs Cubs Over\/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+110)<\/p>\n

Taijuan Walker has allowed four or more runs in three of his four appearances, and that’s no coincidence.<\/p>\n

He ranks in the ninth percentile or lower in whiff rate, xERA, and xBA. He can\u2019t miss bats and is allowing a ton of quality contact.<\/p>\n

The Phillies have gotten 4 2\/3 frames or less from their starter in three straight games and used five relievers yesterday, leaving their bullpen vulnerable behind him.<\/p>\n

Matthew Boyd<\/a> has allowed a sky-high 17.3% barrel rate early on and last pitched April 1, which is less than ideal when taking on a Phillies team with real power.<\/p>\n

Todd Cordell’s 2026 Transparency Record<\/p>\n

ML\/RL bets: 3-3, -0.82 units
\nOver\/Under bets: 1-5, -4.72 units<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Cubs odds<\/p>\n

Moneyline: Phillies +145 | Cubs -170
\nRun line: Phillies +1.5 (-140) | Cubs -1.5 (+120)
\nOver\/Under: Over 8.5 (+105) | Under 8.5 (-125)<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Cubs trend<\/p>\n

The Chicago Cubs have hit the moneyline in their last seven games (+7.40 Units \/ 88% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends<\/a> for Phillies vs. Cubs.<\/p>\n

How to watch Phillies vs Cubs and game info<\/p>\n

Location
\nWrigley Field, Chicago, IL<\/p>\n

Date
\nWednesday, April 22, 2026<\/p>\n

First pitch
\n7:40 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV
\nNBCSP, MARQ<\/p>\n

Phillies starting pitcher
\nKyle Backhus
(0-0, 5.40 ERA)<\/p>\n

Cubs starting pitcher
\nMatthew Boyd
(1-1, 6.75 ERA)<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Cubs latest injuries<\/p>\n

Phillies vs Cubs weather<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

Pages related to this topic<\/p>\n

\"Todd<\/p>\n

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.<\/p>\n

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.<\/p>\n

Read More<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Todd Cordell \u2022 Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience Updated: Apr 22, 2026 , 11:15 AM ET \u2022…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":681140,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2399],"tags":[5,138,24,4245,161,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-681139","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-chicago-cubs","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-chicago","10":"tag-chicago-cubs","11":"tag-chicagocubs","12":"tag-cubs","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116449177581320375","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=681139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681139\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/681140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=681139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=681139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=681139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}