{"id":681242,"date":"2026-04-22T18:58:39","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T18:58:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681242\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T18:58:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T18:58:39","slug":"yankees-vs-red-sox-prediction-mlb-picks-odds-best-bets-wednesday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/681242\/","title":{"rendered":"Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction: MLB picks, odds, best bets Wednesday"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n

The Yankees<\/a> could put the scuffling Red Sox further in the rear-view mirror with a win Wednesday night and they\u2019ve got the right guy on the mound to do it.<\/p>\n

Max Fried has come back down to earth in his last three starts, but he\u2019s still carrying a 2.97 ERA and 0.81 WHIP into his sixth outing of the season.<\/p>\n

Boston will counter with one of its best hurlers, Ranger Suarez, who has put up decent numbers in his first four outings as a Red Sox.<\/p>\n

The Yanks are -146 favorites for this clash at Fenway Park.<\/p>\n

Yankees vs. Red Sox odds, prediction<\/p>\n

There are a lot of signs that point to this contest being a pitchers\u2019 duel, and the first one has nothing to do with the actual pitchers.<\/p>\n

New England is dealing with NFL weather on Wednesday night. Temperatures for this contest are expected to dip towards 40 degrees with minimal wind. It won\u2019t be fun to hit in these conditions, especially against two hurlers who thrive on inducing weak contact.<\/p>\n

Suarez hasn\u2019t got fully up to speed this season, but there were a select few starters who did a better job at avoiding solid contact last season.<\/p>\n

The 30-year-old finished the campaign in the 98th percentile for hard hit rate, 95th in average exit velocity and 75th in ground ball rate.<\/p>\n

Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting<\/p>\n

Fried\u2019s batted-ball numbers weren\u2019t at that level last season, but he thrived at getting hitters to roll over on pitches, posting a 52.6 percent groundball rate (89th percentile) in 32 starts.<\/p>\n

The southpaw\u2019s lagging behind that number so far, but he\u2019s excelled at getting weak contact and currently sits in the 90th percentile for barrel percentage and 87th for hard hit rate.<\/p>\n

\"BostonRanger Suarez has pitched to a 3.22 ERA in four starts with the Red Sox. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect<\/p>\n

Fried may be coming off his worst outing of the campaign, but his numbers this suggest he\u2019s performing at an ace level. Nothing to worry about here.<\/p>\n

He\u2019ll also have the benefit of going up against an offense that seems bereft of answers, especially after it was shutout by Luis Gil and the Yankees bullpen<\/a> Tuesday.<\/p>\n

Suarez, Fried, a struggling BoSox lineup, and some nasty weather give us all the right ingredients for a play on Under 7.5.<\/p>\n

The Play: Under 7.5 (+102, FanDuel<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n

Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":681243,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2376],"tags":[5,684,48,4,722,1690,62,2548,2547,185,1272,723,142],"class_list":{"0":"post-681242","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-yankees","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-betting","10":"tag-boston-red-sox","11":"tag-mlb","12":"tag-mlb-betting","13":"tag-new-york","14":"tag-new-york-yankees","15":"tag-newyork","16":"tag-newyorkyankees","17":"tag-sports","18":"tag-sports-betting","19":"tag-sports-picks","20":"tag-yankees"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116449896492572624","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=681242"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681242\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/681243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=681242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=681242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=681242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}