C Drake Baldwin<\/a>
1B Matt Olson<\/a>
2B Ozzie Albies<\/a>
DH Michael Harris II<\/a>
3B Austin Riley<\/a>
LF Mauricio Dub\u00f3n<\/a>
CF Eli White<\/a>
SS Jorge Mateo<\/a><\/p>\n
Quick thoughts:<\/p>\n
SS Trea Turner
DH Kyle Schwarber
1B Bryce Harper
LF Felix Reyes
RF Adolis Garc\u00eca
3B Alec Bohm
2B Edmundo Sosa
CF Dylan Moore
C Rafael March\u00e1n<\/p>\n
Quick thoughts:<\/p>\n
Quick snapshot:<\/p>\n
Pitch mix:<\/p>\n
vs LHH: 48% slider, 27% sinker, 25% four-seamer<\/p>\n
vs RHH: 43% sinker, 43% slider, 13% changeup, 1% sinker<\/p>\n
What to watch:<\/p>\n
As always, it\u2019s Philly\u2019s Big Three, who have different levels of success off of Sale. Kyle Schwarber has two homers and four RBI in 17 ABs, hitting .294, while Trea Turner is batting .313 (16 ABs) and Bryce Harper just .167 (12 ABs). <\/p>\n
Quick snapshot:<\/p>\n
The arsenal:<\/p>\n
Knuckle Curve (29%, 78.5 mph)<\/p>\n
Four-seamer (29%, 91.7 mph)<\/p>\n
Sinker (20%, 90.8 mph)<\/p>\n
Changeup (12%, 85.2 mph)<\/p>\n
Cutter (10%, 86.1 mph)<\/p>\n
How he attacked hitters (all graphics courtesy of Thomas Nestico<\/a>)<\/p>\n vs LHH: Fastballs early, knuckle curve or sinker as the putaway pitch, changeups mixed throughout<\/p>\n vs RHH: Balanced three pitch mix between sinker, curveball, four-seamer. Knuckle curves are most prevalent late in the count, four-seamer is the second putaway pitch<\/p>\n Sequencing:<\/p>\n How to read a plinko chart: Each circle represents the usage of a pitcher\u2019s arsenal in a given count (color key is on the bottom of the graphic). The thickness of the connecting lines reflects how often each count occurs, helping show how a pitcher navigates an at-bat.<\/p>\n Likely available:<\/p>\n Used recently:<\/p>\n While Tyler Kinley<\/a> and Dylan Lee<\/a> both pitched last night, I’d imagine that they\u2019re on the table if needed to secure a series win this afternoon.<\/p>\n Potential limitations:<\/p>\n That being said, last night was Lee\u2019s third appearance in four days and Kinley threw 24 pitches, so if you can give them the day off, that\u2019d be nice.<\/p>\n Quick takeaway:<\/p>\n Likely available:<\/p>\n Used recently:<\/p>\n Potential limitations:<\/p>\n \u2026 and those pitch counts are climbing, with virtually the entire Philly pen in the orange for pitch count. However, even Orion Kerkering<\/a> (37 pitches in the last three days) is likely on the table if it\u2019s the difference in a much-needed series win or their sixth consecutive series loss. <\/p>\n Quick takeaway:<\/p>\n I expect manager Rob Thomson<\/a> to use any and all of his relievers to secure a win, especially in light of Dave Dombrowski-favorite Alex Cora<\/a> being fired in Boston yesterday. <\/p>\n Aaron Nola\u2019s fastballs have been some of the worst in the sport this year, with that pitch group coming in at a 3rd-percentile mark of -6 Run Value. Can Atlanta\u2019s hitters take advantage?<\/p>\n Philly hitter to watch: Alec Bohm. The slumping third baseman has a surprising .313 average off of Chris Sale in 16 career ABs, although it comes with an unfortunate .666 OPS.<\/p>\n Atlanta\u2019s favored by a run and a half (FanDuel) in what\u2019s expected to be a low-scoring game. This pitching matchup feels pretty slanted towards the Braves, considering each starter\u2019s recent performances and Atlanta\u2019s history against Aaron Nola. But this is Braves\/Phillies, and nothing about these matchups is ever normal. <\/p>\n If you\u2019d rather watch than read this, here\u2019s the Braves Today live stream from this morning, after lineups were announced.<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Atlanta Braves baseball! Let\u2019s break down everything you need to know about this evening\u2019s matchup. First Pitch:…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":683387,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2397],"tags":[5,4,144,25,4216,40],"class_list":{"0":"post-683386","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-philadelphia-phillies","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-philadelphia","11":"tag-philadelphia-phillies","12":"tag-philadelphiaphillies","13":"tag-phillies"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116471705354689973","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683386","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=683386"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683386\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/683387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=683386"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=683386"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=683386"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/9a7655df-a32d-423b-9c37-ee13006ab401_971x.png\" "\\"\\"")
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