{"id":683390,"date":"2026-04-26T15:30:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-26T15:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/683390\/"},"modified":"2026-04-26T15:30:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-26T15:30:29","slug":"marlins-vs-giants-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/683390\/","title":{"rendered":"Marlins vs Giants Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Giants Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Marlins \/ Giants TV Channel: NSBA | MATV<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in San Francisco, CA.<\/p>\n<p>This season, the Marlins are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-16 ATS.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-0, 3.96 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 4-1, 2.28 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5   -210O 7.5   -115+110Giants -1.5   +170U 7.5   -105-130<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday\u2018s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Giants and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+18.50 Units \/ 462% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Liam Hicks has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Kyle Stowers has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.25 Units \/ 40% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.20 Units \/ 177% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units \/ 18% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units \/ 47% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.05 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.79 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Giants Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.25 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units \/ 12% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.65 Units \/ 65% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+3.90 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-16 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units \/ -17.78% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units \/ -3.52% ROI<\/p>\n<p>16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units \/ 20.07% ROI<\/p>\n<p>9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units \/ -28.81% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this season, the Giants are 10-16 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units \/ -32.05% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units \/ -8.53% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units \/ -3.55% ROI<\/p>\n<p>12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units \/ -4.19% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tGiants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tGiants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tGiants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season \u2014 lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 11-79 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 6-87 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are 8-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season \u2014 tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .772.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are 41-9 (.820) when they\u2019ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 35 total hits (just 17%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are batting .289 on breaking pitches this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have an OBP of .289 (523 PA\u2019s) with two-strikes this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>35% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (713 PA\u2019s) against RHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Giants are batting just .223 against LHP since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers  this season \u2014 3rd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (146.0 IP) at home this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers  in the 2024 season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 56% of opposing batters  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers  since the 2025 season \u2014 3rd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers  this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Marlins vs Giants and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Marlins Marlins vs Giants Over \/ Under today: 7.5 Runs Marlins&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":666473,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-683390","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami-marlins","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-marlins","10":"tag-miami","11":"tag-miami-marlins","12":"tag-miamimarlins","13":"tag-mlb"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116471727676656111","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=683390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/683390\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/666473"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=683390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=683390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=683390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}