{"id":697071,"date":"2026-05-12T15:30:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T15:30:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/697071\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T15:30:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T15:30:18","slug":"giants-vs-dodgers-prediction-odds-probable-pitchers-prop-bets-for-tuesday-may-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/697071\/","title":{"rendered":"Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Tuesday, May 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7j\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have dropped to second in the NL West after losing a third game in a row on Monday night in their series opener with the San Francisco Giants.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7m\">San Francisco has won two games in a row and dropped nine runs on the Dodgers in this series opener, yet oddsmakers have it set as a +248 underdog on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7p\">A big reason for that price is the pitching matchup, as Adrian Houser (6.19 ERA) gets the ball for the Giants against Los Angeles\u2019 Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3.09 ERA). Yamamoto has an expected ERA of 4.23 this season, but he\u2019s still clearly the better starter on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7s\">Let\u2019s dive into the odds, a player prop to bet and my prediction for this NL West rivalry matchup on May 12.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line and Total<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7y\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"81\">Run Line<\/p>\n<p>Giants +1.5 (+119)Dodgers -1.5 (-143)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"87\">Moneyline<\/p>\n<p>Giants: +248Dodgers: -314<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-10\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8d\">Total<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs. Dodgers Probable PitchersSan Francisco: Adrian Houser (0-4, 6.19 ERA)Los Angeles: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3-2, 3.09 ERA)Giants vs. Dodgers How to WatchDate: Tuesday, May 12Time: 10:10 p.m. ESTVenue: Dodger StadiumHow to Watch (TV): NBC Sports Bay Area, Sportsnet Los AngelesGiants record: 17-24Dodgers record: 24-17Giants vs. Dodgers Best MLB Prop BetDodgers Best MLB Prop BetFreddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run (+467)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"94\">Earlier today, I shared in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/best-mlb-home-run-prop-bet-picks-today-target-elly-de-la-cruz-freddie-freeman-pirates-slugger\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SI Betting\u2019s best home run props \u2013 Daily Dinger<\/a> \u2013 why Freeman is undervalued against Houser:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"97\">Los Angeles Dodgers star Freddie Freeman has a favorable matchup on Tuesday night, as the San Francisco Giants are set to start the struggling Adrian Houser.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9a\">This season, Houser has given up seven home runs in seven appearances, posting a 6.19 ERA. The Giants are just 1-6 when the righty is on the mound in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9d\">Freeman is 4-for-12 with two doubles, one home run and a 1.179 OPS against Houser in his career, and I think he\u2019s a little undervalued at this price on May 12.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9g\">The Dodgers first baseman has a .292 batting average and an .806 OPS against righties this season, and he\u2019s upped his OPS to .898 \u2013 homering once \u2013 over the last week.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-24\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9j\">There are a ton of options to take in a vaunted Dodgers lineup, but Freeman\u2019s success against Houser in his career makes him an attractive option at nearly 5\/1.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9p\">San Francisco has won just one of the seven games that Houser has appeared in this season, and the veteran right-hander has allowed three or more runs in five of his seven outings.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9s\">On top of that, Houser ranks in the 15th percentile in expected ERA and the ninth percentile in expected batting average against. So, he\u2019s not due for some positive regression, and I certainly don\u2019t see that coming against a Dodgers offense that is second in OPS, second in batting average and fifth in runs scored in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9v\">Yamamoto\u2019s advanced numbers aren\u2019t awesome, but the right-hander has just one start all season where he\u2019s allowed more than three earned runs, and the Dodgers are 5-2 when he\u2019s on the mound.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9y\">Even though the Giants have spent a lot of time as underdogs this season, they are 18-23 on the run line, while the Dodgers are 19-22.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a1\">I don\u2019t mind taking Los Angeles to win this game, as it\u2019s impossible to build a case for betting on Houser.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a4\">Pick: Dodgers -1.5 <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">(-143 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a9\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ac\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"af\">Find Peter Dewey&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1BIvWO-S-TFepu-8DBiXfx10kJJ4Zi7ctpMBVYK9oCZQ\/edit?usp=sharing\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting record here<\/a>\u00a0(futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/betstamp.app\/u\/peter2dewey\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetStamp here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-36\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ai\">Claim the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$100 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Los Angeles Dodgers have dropped to second in the NL West after losing a third game in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":697072,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2408],"tags":[5,162,4,378,66,4343,4340,4344,4341,4342],"class_list":{"0":"post-697071","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-san-francisco-giants","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-giants","10":"tag-mlb","11":"tag-san-francisco","12":"tag-san-francisco-giants","13":"tag-sanfrancisco","14":"tag-sanfranciscogiants","15":"tag-sf","16":"tag-sf-giants","17":"tag-sfgiants"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116562324642901635","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=697071"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697071\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/697072"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=697071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=697071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=697071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}