{"id":697091,"date":"2026-05-12T16:00:24","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T16:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/697091\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T16:00:24","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T16:00:24","slug":"nationals-vs-reds-prediction-odds-probable-pitchers-prop-bets-for-tuesday-may-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/697091\/","title":{"rendered":"Nationals vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Tuesday, May 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7j\">Two struggling starters take on the mound on Tuesday night in a National League showdown between the Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7m\">Miles Mikolas (7.44 ERA) is on the mound for the Nationals, and he\u2019s looking to build on arguably his best start of the season where he allowed two runs across 5.1 innings of work in a win over the Minnesota Twins.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7p\">Mikolas will take on Cincinnati\u2019s Brady Singer, who has a 5.63 ERA in eight starts in 2026. The Reds have won five of those games, but Singer hasn\u2019t exactly pitched well, ranking in the 11th percentile in expected ERA, per Statcast.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-3\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7s\">Oddsmakers have set the Reds as favorites at home and the total is all the way up 10 (!) with these starters on the mound.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7v\">Here\u2019s a breakdown of the odds, my favorite prop bet and a prediction for Tuesday\u2019s matchup.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line and Total<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"81\"><a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-7\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"84\">Run Line<\/p>\n<p>Nationals +1.5 (-163)Reds -1.5 (+135)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8a\">Moneyline<\/p>\n<p>Nationals: +123Reds: -149<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8g\">Total<\/p>\n<p>10 (Over -110\/Under -110)Nationals vs. Reds Probable PitchersWashington: Miles Mikolas (1-3, 7.44 ERA)Cincinnati: Brady Singer (2-2, 5.63 ERA)Nationals vs. Reds How to WatchDate: Tuesday, May 12Time: 6:40 p.m. ESTVenue: Great American Ball ParkHow to Watch (TV): Nationals.TV\/Reds.TVNationals record: 19-22Reds record: 22-19Nationals vs. Reds Best MLB Prop BetReds Best MLB Prop BetElly De La Cruz to Hit a Home Run (+351)<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"97\">Earlier today, I shared in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/best-mlb-home-run-prop-bet-picks-today-target-elly-de-la-cruz-freddie-freeman-pirates-slugger\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SI Betting\u2019s best home run props \u2013 Daily Dinger<\/a> \u2013 why Elly is worth a bet against a struggling Washington pitching staff:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9a\">De La Cruz has been awesome in the 2026 season for the Reds, hitting .288 with 10 home runs and an .875 OPS. The Reds star is hitting .320 with one homer over the last two weeks, and he should be in a great spot to go deep against Washington.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-22\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9d\">Mikolas enters this start with a 7.44 ERA, and he\u2019s given up nine home runs in eight outings in 2026. The Nationals\u2019 bullpen isn\u2019t much better, as it has a 4.84 ERA and has given up 28 home runs. The Nats rank 27th in the league in bullpen ERA and only the Houston bullpen has allowed more homers.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-23\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9g\">Elly has not homered against Mikolas in his career, but the star shortstop is hitting .333 against him, going 5-for-15 with a double, a triple and a .945 OPS. De La Cruz has homered five times against righties and five times against lefties this season, making him a pretty matchup-proof pick on Tuesday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Nationals vs. Reds Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-25\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9m\">The Reds are a bottom 10 team in runs scored this season, but Tuesday\u2019s matchup could be a \u201cget-right spot\u201d for this team.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-26\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9p\">Mikolas has a 7.44 ERA in the 2026 season, and he ranks in the 27th percentile in expected ERA. Not only that, but Mikolas has allowed at least two runs in seven of his eight starts, even though he\u2019s completed five innings just two times. So, there\u2019s a chance that the Reds will also get to tee off on Washington\u2019s bullpen, which ranks 27th in MLB in ERA this season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-27\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9s\">Offensively, the Nationals are No. 3 in the league in runs scored, so I expect them to get to Brady Singer early on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-28\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9v\">This season, Singer ranks in the 11th percentile in expected ERA and the seventh percentile in expected batting average against. He has an actual ERA of 5.63 and has allowed two or more runs in seven of his eight outings in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-29\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"9y\">Simply put, I don\u2019t trust either starter to blank the opposing offense through five frames on Tuesday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-30\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a1\">Let\u2019s root for some fireworks right out of the gate in Nationals vs. Reds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-31\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a4\">Pick: First 5 Innings OVER 4.5 <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">(-166 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-33\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"a9\">Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-34\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"ac\">If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-35\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-primary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"af\">Claim the latest\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/4kJjtBu\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$100 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Two struggling starters take on the mound on Tuesday night in a National League showdown between the Washington&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":697092,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2398],"tags":[5,4,415,414,71,4222],"class_list":{"0":"post-697091","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-washington-nationals","8":"tag-baseball","9":"tag-mlb","10":"tag-nationals","11":"tag-washington","12":"tag-washington-nationals","13":"tag-washingtonnationals"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116562442527356506","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=697091"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697091\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/697092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=697091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=697091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=697091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}