{"id":732679,"date":"2026-06-22T14:51:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T14:51:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/732679\/"},"modified":"2026-06-22T14:51:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T14:51:23","slug":"diamondbacks-vs-cardinals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/732679\/","title":{"rendered":"Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks \/ Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | DBTV<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This season, the Diamondbacks are 39-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-28 ATS.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-6, 5.85 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 8-4, 3.76 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineDiamondbacks+1.5   -175O 8.5   -110+120Cardinals -1.5   +145U 8.5   -110-145<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday\u2018s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+19.30 Units \/ 193% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jorge Barrosa has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.70 Units \/ 79% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.90 Units \/ 99% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+21.45 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.85 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.95 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games (+1.70 Units \/ 4% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units \/ 19% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.35 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units \/ 15% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 43-33 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units \/ 4.6% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>39-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units \/ -1.14% ROI<\/p>\n<p>33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units \/ -12.65% ROI<\/p>\n<p>40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units \/ 4.85% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-28 against the Run Line (+10 Units \/ 9.32% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units \/ 13.85% ROI<\/p>\n<p>34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units \/ -7.8% ROI<\/p>\n<p>37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units \/ -0.78% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Diamondbacks are just 87-23 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are just 98-16 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are 7-97 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Cardinals are just 10-95 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 160-11 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are batting .331 in lefty-lefty matchups this season \u2014 best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Diamondbacks are batting .268 against LHP this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>9% of Diamondbacks\u2019 hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (265\/2,866 PA\u2019s)  this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting .179 on pitches out of the zone this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season \u2014 2nd highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .330 (1,472 PA\u2019s) on the road this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18%  this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers  this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters  this season \u2014 tied for 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH this season (1,965 balls in play) \u2014 highest in MLB<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20%  this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a 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For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Diamondbacks&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":732680,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2404],"tags":[146,22,4314,5,38,4],"class_list":["post-732679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-arizona","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-arizonadiamondbacks","tag-baseball","tag-diamondbacks","tag-mlb"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116794326007943525","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/732679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=732679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/732679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/732680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=732679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=732679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=732679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}