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ST LOUIS, MISSOURI – MAY 3: Justin Wrobleski #70 of the Los Angeles Dodgers delivers a pitch against the St. Louis Cardinals in the sixth inning at Busch Stadium on May 3, 2026 in St Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n
Los Angeles Dodgers\u2019<\/a> starting pitcher Justin Wrobleski has been a stud this season\u2013but regression might be on its way.\u00a0<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n Wrobleski, 25, has a stellar 2.71 ERA for the Dodgers this season. Additionally, he\u2019s already racked up 2.0 Baseball Reference WAR, and holds a record of 9-2. When the kid pitches, the Dodgers win.\u00a0<\/p>\n However, with the modernity of analytics<\/a>, you can often forecast a storm on a \u2018lucky\u2019 pitcher. That seems to be the bin that Wrobleski falls into.\u00a0<\/p>\n When you flip over to Wrobleski\u2019s Baseball Savant page, it\u2019s a bit of a jumpscare.\u00a0<\/p>\n Although his fastball is one of MLB\u2019s best and he excels at limiting ball four, this isn\u2019t much else to dream on.\u00a0<\/p>\n Wrobleski has an xERA of 4.31, demonstrating his luck this season<\/a>. Consequently, the quality of contact he surrenders is poor. Hitters have pushed the young southpaw into the bottom half in barrel percentage and even lower in average exit velocity.\u00a0<\/p>\n One thing is for sure, regardless of his continuity, Wrobleski has LA\u2019s eye in the first half.\u00a0<\/p>\n Social Media Reacts to Dodgers\u2019 Surging Southpaw\u00a0<\/p>\n Here\u2019s what people are saying:\u00a0<\/p>\n Dodgers Nation<\/a>: \u201cDave Roberts believes that Justin Wrobleski deserves to be in the All-Star conversation this season. He compares Wrobo\u2019s situation to how Tony Gonsolin was performing in 2022 and made the team.\u201d<\/p>\n @Corbin_Young21<\/a>: \u201cLos Angeles Dodgers\u2019 starting pitcher Justin Wrobleski threw a quality start against the Twins<\/a> (7 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO, and 1 HR). Wrobleski had a 9.8% swinging-strike rate and a 30% ball rate on Tuesday against the Twins. The Twins stacked right-handed hitters against Wrobleski. That coincided with him throwing three primary pitches (over 10% of the time) harder by 1 mph or more. Wrobleski threw his four-seamer (+1.1 mph), slider (+1 mph), and sinker (+1.6 mph) on Tuesday. Wrobleski peppered his four-seamer in the zone 62% of the time, with hitters whiffing (13.3% swinging-strike rate), chasing (47%), and being a weapon for first-pitch strikes (75%). He has been commanding his heater well, with a 118 Location+ before Tuesday\u2019s outing. Wrobleski has been a command (108 Location+) over stuff (99 Stuff+) pitcher, leading to most of his expected ERA metrics (4.38 xFIP, 4.19 xERA, and 4.53 SIERA) hinting at regression.\u201d<\/p>\n Nicho Roessler<\/a>: \u201cJustin Wrobleski just keeps getting away with it. 7 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K, 9 whiffs, 28% CSW, 2.71 ERA, and 1.01 WHIP on the season with 53 Ks in 86.1 IP. ERA estimators still suggest regression, but I am done trying to suggest it\u2019s coming.\u201d<\/p>\n Pedro Martinez<\/a>: \u201cI was impressed with Justin Wrobleski. He was like a shark out there! After tonight, he\u2019s now \u2018the Shark.’\u201d<\/p>\n Dodgers Right Now<\/p>\n The Dodgers are currently 52-29, and ahead of the second-place Padres<\/a> by nine games in the NL West.<\/p>\n Starting DH and pitcher Shohei Ohtani was recently named the NL\u2019s starting designated hitter for the All-Star Game.<\/p>\n The Dodgers led MLB<\/a> with seven finalists after the conclusion of fan voting.<\/p>\n LA is looking to become the first team to three-peat world championships in what seems like forever, and they have the cast to do it.<\/p>\n The Dodgers will play the Padres tomorrow, June 26, in a big series<\/a> that could derail the Friars\u2019 season.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n \n\t\t\tAJ Stone<\/a> AJ Stone is a baseball writer for Heavy, covering MLB news and various trends. His work has also appeared on Redbird Rants, Inside Halos, District on Deck, and other digital outlets. With a focus on analytics, he aims to blend data with storytelling for an engaging experience for his readers. More about AJ Stone<\/a>\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Getty ST LOUIS, MISSOURI – MAY 3: Justin Wrobleski #70 of the Los Angeles Dodgers delivers a pitch…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":735784,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2406],"tags":[5,39,1165,4332,4333,774,57,3224,4331,4],"class_list":["post-735783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-baseball","tag-dodgers","tag-la","tag-la-dodgers","tag-ladodgers","tag-los-angeles","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-losangeles","tag-losangelesdodgers","tag-mlb"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116814604332698274","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/735783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=735783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/735783\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/735784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=735783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=735783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=735783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}