{"id":736991,"date":"2026-06-27T15:42:33","date_gmt":"2026-06-27T15:42:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/736991\/"},"modified":"2026-06-27T15:42:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-27T15:42:33","slug":"marlins-vs-cardinals-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/736991\/","title":{"rendered":"Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds &#038; Player Prop Bets Today"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs<\/p>\n<p>Marlins \/ Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | MATV<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Miami Marlins (+118) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on June 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This season, the Marlins are 43-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-31 ATS.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:<\/p>\n<p>Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 0-2, 5.90 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 9-4, 3.61 ERA<\/p>\n<p>Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMarlins+1.5   -170O 8.5   -105+118Cardinals -1.5   +140U 8.5   -115-145<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday\u2018s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Esteury Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+23.00 Units \/ 288% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.55 Units \/ 58% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Edwards has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units \/ 34% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday\u2018s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n<p>Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units \/ 63% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jose Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jose Fermin has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units \/ 61% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+15.00 Units \/ 50% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+15.00 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.60 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.15 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Best Bets Today:<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.70 Units \/ 32% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.60 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+6.30 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 43-38 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units \/ 1.38% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>43-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units \/ 5.93% ROI<\/p>\n<p>44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units \/ 5.96% ROI<\/p>\n<p>35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units \/ -14.64% ROI<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-31 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units \/ 5.51% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>42-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units \/ 10.28% ROI<\/p>\n<p>35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units \/ -10.06% ROI<\/p>\n<p>40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units \/ 1.43% ROI<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Marlins are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs this season \u2014 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 38-8 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season \u2014 best in MLB; League Avg: .722.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins are 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .870.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are just 10-96 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are 32-22 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season \u2014 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season \u2014 tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 highest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .274  this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins hitters have an OPS of just 1.013 (599 PA\u2019s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season \u2014 5th lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Hitting Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA\u2019s against LHP this season \u2014 2nd best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals are batting .180 with two-strikes this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA\u2019s  this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .327 (881 PA\u2019s) against LHP this season \u2014 5th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 448.7 feet \u2014 \u2014 tied for 5th shortest in MLB<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (407.2 IP) at home this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in late innings this season \u2014 tied for 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Marlins have allowed 1.04 runs per game (85\/82) in late innings this season \u2014 4th best in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals Pitching Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers  this season \u2014 2nd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season \u2014 lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20%  this season \u2014 3rd lowest in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (2,088 balls in play) \u2014 highest in MLB<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More MLB Reading:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/latest-sports-betting-promotions-offers-betmgm-2\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsbook promos<\/a> are always available at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>. For new customers, check out the <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/best-bonus-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbook welcome offer<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/betmgm.com\/refer-a-friend-sports\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Refer a Friend<\/a>. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins Marlins vs Cardinals Over \/ Under today: 8.5 Runs Marlins&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":736992,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2395],"tags":[5,1816,778,58,4171,4],"class_list":["post-736991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami-marlins","tag-baseball","tag-marlins","tag-miami","tag-miami-marlins","tag-miamimarlins","tag-mlb"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@mlb\/116822838046040822","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=736991"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/736991\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/736992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=736991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=736991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/mlb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=736991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}