Run Line<\/p>\n
Orioles +1.5 (-187)Rangers -1.5 (+154)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Orioles: +129Rangers: -139<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
7.5 (Over -102\/Under -119)Orioles vs. Rangers Probable PitchersBaltimore: Shane Baz (4-10, 3.86 ERA)Texas: Nathan Eovaldi (10-9, 4.31 ERA)Orioles vs. Rangers How to WatchDate: Friday, Aug. 7Time: 8:15 p.m. ESTVenue: Globe Life FieldHow to Watch (TV): Apple TVOrioles record: 56-59Rangers record: 57-58Orioles vs. Rangers Best MLB Prop BetsOrioles Best MLB Prop BetShane Baz OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed (+102)<\/p>\n
A little plus-money prop to send us into the weekend? Let\u2019s do it!<\/p>\n
Baz has a 1.37 WHIP in the 2026 season and ranks in just the 24th percentile in expected batting average against. He\u2019s given up more hits (131) than innings pitched (128.1) this season and has five straight outings with six or more hits allowed.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The right-hander has made 22 starts for the O\u2019s in 2026, and he\u2019s only left seven of those with five or fewer hits allowed.<\/p>\n
The Rangers are 13th in MLB in batting average this season, but they\u2019ve risen to ninth in the league (.254) over the last 30 days. I think they\u2019ll be able to get to Baz on Friday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n
On the surface, Baz has put together a pretty solid season for the Orioles, posting a 3.86 ERA, but his advanced numbers tell a much different story.<\/p>\n
Baz ranks in the 40th percentile in expected ERA, the 24th percentile in expected batting average against and the 25th percentile in hard-hit percentage this season. He also has a 1.37 WHIP, which is a concern since he\u2019s struggling to generate swings and misses, ranking in the 22nd percentile in whiff percentage.\u00a0<\/p>\n
That could be why the O\u2019s have won just six of his outings and have won just one of his starts since July 1.<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Eovaldi has allowed at least four runs 10 times in the 2026 season. That puts a lot of pressure on the Texas offense, yet it still has won the majority of his starts.<\/p>\n
Texas is ninth in MLB in Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) this season while Baltimore is just outside the top 10 in 12th. Over the last 30 days, Texas has been a far better team on offense, ranking ninth in the league OPS while the O\u2019s clock in at 19th.\u00a0<\/p>\n
It would be shocking if either of these teams made a deep playoff run given their play so far in 2026, but I do think the Rangers are worth a look at home at a pretty reasonable moneyline price.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Rangers are four games over .500 at home while Baltimore is five games under .500 on the road. Since Texas has a slightly better offense in 2026, I\u2019ll take it to win another start with Eovaldi on the mound.<\/p>\n
Pick: Rangers Moneyline (-139 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Claim the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0$150 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n
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